Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction & Picks - ATP Finals

ATP - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz Spain
Carlos Alcaraz ATP 3
11/16/26 08:00
Frances Tiafoe USA
Frances Tiafoe ATP 8

Prediction:

 

Frances Tiafoe +1.5 Set Handicap

+165
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

One of Monday's two matches at the ATP Finals in Turin, the first to take place, sees Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe lock horns for a sixth time. Now rated as the world number three, Alcaraz comes into this match having been in scintillating form in Paris, where he recently won the Masters event, defeating Ben Shelton in straight sets to get his hands on that prestigious prize.

At odds of +165, it may just be worth betting on Frances Tiafoe to make life difficult for Carlos Alcaraz by winning at least one set. The American did falter early at the Paris Masters, but he comes here refreshed, while let's not forget that this is a man who knows how to raise his game against the Spaniard. When the pair last met, Tiafoe came out on top, while he's never lost to Alcaraz in straight sets, despite facing the current world number three on five previous occasions. 

Up to $200 to bet on Carlos Alcaraz - Frances Tiafoe! 

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Form

Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe Latest Matches

Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 8, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters

Ben Shelton
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Nov 7, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Nov 6, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Nov 4, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Nov 1, 2026 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Oct 31, 2026 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz
Frances Tiafoe Latest matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 4, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters

Quentin Halys
2 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

Oct 28, 2026 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Frances Tiafoe

Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Yannick Hanfmann
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Frances Tiafoe

Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Kei Nishikori
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Carlos Alcaraz against Frances Tiafoe : Head to Head (H2H)

Carlos Alcaraz

100 %

Frances Tiafoe

0 %

Jul 5, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  2
Frances Tiafoe
Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Picks

Carlos Alcaraz - Frances Tiafoe Key Points

  1. When the pair last met, Frances Tiafoe came out on top.
  2. When the pair last met on a hard-court, Frances Tiafoe avoided a straight-set defeat.
  3. Frances Tiafoe has avoided a straight-set defeat in five out of five previous matches against Carlos Alcaraz.
  4. Frances Tiafoe has only lost two of his last 18 hard-court matches in straight sets.
  5. Frances Tiafoe has only lost two of his last 28 fully completed matches in straight sets.
Up to $200 to bet on Carlos Alcaraz - Frances Tiafoe! 

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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Clearly, having won the Paris Masters in fine fashion, Carlos Alcaraz is in a fabulous place with his game, and off the back of that victory in the French capital, he looks to be the most likely winner of this event. However, we cannot ignore the fact that he runs into sizable problems whenever he faces Frances Tiafoe.

Tiafoe, as the current world number eight, really does seem to have the secret recipe for success against Alcaraz, beating the Spaniard on three previous occasions, never losing in straight sets. That fact makes the American look a little too leniently priced here. 

Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Pick: Frances Tiafoe +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Frances Tiafoe +1.5 Set Handicap

+165
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.