Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 77 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
9/1/26 12:10
ATP 44 Germany
Jan-Lennard Struff

Prediction:

 

Jan-Lennard Struff to Win

-175
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

At the US Open last year, Jan-Lennard Struff delivered a career-best effort by reaching the fourth round. The German will now be looking to build on that, especially after doing well at Wimbledon recently. In contrast, Camilo Ugo Carabelli did not thrive at Flushing Meadows last year, exiting at the first-round stage, as he also did in 2024. He's never made it further than this stage. 

At this level, when it comes to Grand Slam matches, Jan-Lennard Struff has much more to offer than his Argentine opponent, so much so that the German is worth betting on to emerge victorious. The higher-ranked player could easily be priced around the -250 mark, so if we can get early odds of -175, as we can at the time of writing, we should take advantage. 

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jan-Lennard Struff Latest Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Miomir Kecmanovic

Aug 3, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Cameron Norrie

Jul 20, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open

Titouan Droguet
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Jul 16, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Roman Andres Burruchaga
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Pablo Carreño-Busta
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Jul 14, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Marko ToPo
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Jan-Lennard Struff Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Roman Andres Burruchaga
1 :  2
Jan-Lennard Struff

Aug 3, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Alex Michelsen
2 :  1
Jan-Lennard Struff

Jul 22, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Mariano Navone

Jul 21, 2026 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
2 :  1
Aleksandr Shevchenko

Jul 7, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Jan-Lennard Struff
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Picks

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jan-Lennard Struff Key Points

  1. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost his most recent hard-court match against a higher-ranked player.
  2. On the North American swing, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has lost two out of two against higher-ranked players.
  3. Jan-Lennard Struff won his most recent hard-court match against a lower-ranked player.
  4. Jan-Lennard Struff has won his first-round match in three of the four Grand Slams he's played in the last year.
  5. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has never been beyond the first round at the US Open.

Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

On hard surfaces, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is not really at his best, winning only two of his last seven hard-court matches, while he's lost each of his last three hard-court matches against higher-ranked players without winning a set. Such a record does not point towards the Argentinian being successful here, let's be honest. Jan-Lennard Struff usually does well early on in Grand Slams, and he enjoyed himself at Flushing Meadows last season, so much so that he ought to be a stronger favorite than a price of -175 indicates. 

Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Jan-Lennard Struff Pick: Jan-Lennard Struff to Win.

Prediction:

 

Jan-Lennard Struff to Win

-175
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.