Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton
11/1/25 11:00
Leeds

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

+205
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Brighton & Hove Albion will host Leeds United at the American Express Community Stadium on Saturday in what promises to be an evenly contested Premier League clash. With just one point separating the two sides, this matchup could have a big impact on the mid-table standings as both teams look to climb closer to the top half. Brighton currently sits in 13th place with 12 points, while Leeds United trails narrowly in 15th with 11 points.

Brighton have been relatively solid at home this season, winning two of their four matches at the Amex. Roberto De Zerbi's side continues to impress with their dynamic attacking play, though their defensive frailties have occasionally cost them valuable points. Their recent 4-2 defeat to Manchester United exposed gaps at the back, but victories over Newcastle and Chelsea showcased the Seagulls' ability to go toe-to-toe with top-tier opposition. With Danny Welbeck and Simon Adingra finding form in front of goal, Brighton's attacking threat looks potent, particularly when they're on home soil.

Leeds United, meanwhile, have struggled to find consistency. They've won just two of their last six games, losing three during that stretch. Their defense has been leaky, but they've managed to show flashes of quality in attack, especially through the pace and creativity of Georginio Rutter and Crysencio Summerville.

Leeds' 50% loss rate in recent fixtures underscores their difficulty maintaining form, yet they remain capable of pulling off upsets when given space to counterattack. Facing Brighton's adventurous style could suit them, as they'll likely look to hit on the break and exploit defensive lapses.

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Brighton vs Leeds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Brighton
53 38 14 11 13 +6
14 Leeds
47 38 11 14 13 -7

Brighton and Leeds Latest Matches

Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
W W D W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

Jul 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke
L W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton
Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds
D W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 18, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan
D L D L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  0
Leeds

Brighton against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

50 %

Draw

50 %

Leeds

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

Mar 11, 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Brighton

Aug 27, 2022 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Leeds

May 15, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Brighton

Nov 27, 2021 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Leeds

May 1, 2021 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  0
Leeds

Jan 16, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Brighton

Brighton against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Verbruggen
27
M. Wieffer
6
J. van Hecke
5
L. Dunk
24
F. Kadioglu
17
C. Baleba
26
Y. Ayari
11
Y. Minteh
10
G. Rutter
25
D. Gomez
18
D. Welbeck
19
N. Okafor
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
11
B. Aaronson
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
8
S. Longstaff
3
G. Gudmundsson
15
J. Bijol
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
1
L. Perri

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Leeds

Substitutes

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

M. De Cuyper

D. Coppola

O. Boscagli

Midfielder

J. Knight

Y. Ayari 90'

Forward

N. Oriola

G. Rutter 90'

S. Tzimas

D. Welbeck 81'

T. Watson

D. Gomez 81'

C. Kostoulas

Y. Minteh 88'

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

P. Struijk

J. Justin

N. Okafor 77'

Midfielder

A. Stach

A. Tanaka 61'

I. Gruev

J. Harrison

J. Bogle 77'

Forward

J. Piroe

L. Nmecha

D. Calvert-Lewin 65'

D. James

S. Longstaff 61'

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

J. Veltman

Midfielder

J. Milner

S. March

K. Mitoma

J. Hinshelwood

B. Gruda

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

G. Wilfried

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (14 Goals)
Best assists
Gambia Y. Minteh (4 Assists)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (5 Assists)

Brighton - Leeds Key Points

  1. Brighton are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Leeds are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 4-1 in Brighton's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 4-1 in Leeds' last 5 games
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Our Brighton vs Leeds Prediction

In recent meetings between the two sides, Brighton have had the upper hand, winning three of the last six encounters across all competitions. Their familiarity with Leeds' high-energy pressing game might work in their favor, especially with home support behind them. However, the Whites will be motivated to flip the script, knowing that a victory could see them leapfrog Brighton in the standings.

Tactically, this game should be wide open. Brighton's passing rhythm and forward movement will test Leeds' backline, while Leeds' direct attacking approach could expose Brighton's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect both sides to create plenty of chances, with momentum swinging back and forth throughout the 90 minutes.

Overall, Brighton's superior home form and attacking depth could give them the edge in what should be an entertaining, high-tempo contest. Leeds, though, are more than capable of finding the net and making it a close affair. A 2-1 home win for Brighton looks the most likely outcome, but a draw wouldn't be a surprise given both teams' unpredictable nature this season. Our prediction for Brighton vs. Leeds: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

+205
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Leeds Picks