Bologna vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Bologna
2/3/26 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-122
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Serie A Picks

Last season, Bologna defeated Milan 1-0 in the Coppa Italia final, securing their Europa League berth and denying Milan a European spot. The Rossoneri have already avenged that defeat at the San Siro in Serie A's Matchday 2, winning 1-0 with a goal from Modric. At the start of February 2026, the two teams will meet again at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara for Matchday 23.

Bologna recently cruised to victory in Israel, with goals from Rowe, Orsolini, and Pogba, finishing tenth in their Europa League group stage. However, they are struggling in Serie A, having lost six of their last ten league matches.

Milan, on the other hand, appears to be the most likely contender to challenge Inter for the Serie A title. Without European competition, Massimiliano Allegri's side has yet to suffer an impressive defeat away from home this season, having drawn five and won six. They didn't look entirely fluid when they drew against Roma at the difficult Stadio Olimpico, but the Milanese side managed to salvage a valuable point. De Winter scored Milan's goal that day, assisted by Modric, and Mike Maignan was key in goal, contributing six saves.

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Bologna vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
8 Bologna
56 38 16 8 14 +3

Bologna and AC Milan Latest Matches

Bologna
Bologna Latest matches
D W L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
0 :  3
Bologna

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
2 :  2
Celtic

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  3
Bologna

Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Bologna
L D D L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
2 :  2
Celtic

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Sassuolo

Dec 19, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Juventus
L L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
0 :  3
Bologna

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  3
Bologna

Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Bologna

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

Dec 22, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
Bologna
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W D D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

Dec 18, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Bologna against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Bologna

33 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

May 14, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  0
AC Milan

May 9, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

Feb 27, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 27, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Bologna

Aug 21, 2023 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
AC Milan

Bologna against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Bologna

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
F. Ravaglia
20
N. Zortea
16
N. Casale
14
T. Heggem
33
J. Miranda
8
R. Freuler
19
L. Ferguson
7
R. Orsolini
21
J. Odgaard
11
J. Rowe
9
S. Castro
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
18
C. Nkunku
33
D. Bartesaghi
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
24
Z. Athekame
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
5
K. De Winter
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Bologna
Bologna
Goalkeeper

M. Franceschelli

M. Pessina

Defender

M. Vitik

J. Mario

E. Helland

C. Lykogiannis

J. Miranda 78'

Midfielder

N. Moro

R. Freuler 65'

N. Cambiaghi

J. Rowe 78'

T. Pobega

S. Sohm

Forward

T. Dallinga

S. Castro 54'

B. Dominguez

F. Bernardeschi

R. Orsolini 53'

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

P. Terracciano

L. Torriani

Defender

P. Estupinan

D. Bartesaghi 83'

D. Odogu

F. Tomori

Z. Athekame 67'

Midfielder

A. Jashari

L. Modric 73'

S. Ricci

R. Loftus-Cheek 67'

Forward

R. Leao

N. Fullkrug

C. Nkunku 72'

Missing players

Bologna
Bologna
Goalkeeper

L. Skorupski

Defender

K. Bonifazi

J. Lucumi

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

A. Saelemaekers

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bologna
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy R. Orsolini (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Best assists
Italy N. Cambiaghi (4 Assists)
Spain J. Miranda (4 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists)
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Bologna - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Modric played the full 90 minutes and completed 89% of his passes against Roma
  2. Bologna hasn't won at home in Serie A since November 9, 2025, against Napoli.
  3. Bologna recorded an xG of 0.55 in their match against Genoa
  4. Bologna committed 17 fouls in their last league game
Up to $350 to bet on Bologna - AC Milan! 

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Our Bologna vs AC Milan Prediction

Milan's attack has been in slight decline since the start of the year. In fact, in January, only Como managed to score two or more goals against them; in five other matches played in the first month of the year, Milan scored exactly one goal.

Therefore, Tuesday's match between Bologna and Milan could very well be another tight affair with few scoring opportunities. Betting on the home side also seems risky; Bologna has only managed 3 wins in their last 33 encounters against Milan, losing 22 times.

Our prediction for Bologna vs Milan is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-122
$350 offered for betting!

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Bologna vs AC Milan Picks