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by Lou Aguila in ATP US Open Picks
Ben Shelton of the United States is going up against a dangerous opponent in the third round of the 2025 US Open on Friday in Flushing Meadows, New York.
Shelton is currently listed at -575 moneyline, though it’s worth noting that he’s 1-2 head-to-head against his next opponent.
After sweeping through the first two rounds, Shelton will turn his attention to his next assignment, a match against Adrian Mannarino of France in the round of 32 at the 2025 US Open. Shelton, who blasted Ignacio Buse 6-3 6-2 6-4 and Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 6-2 6-4 in straight set, must brace for a rough duel with Mannarino, who had given the American headaches in their first two go-around until securing a breakthrough win at the Canadian Open, 6-2 6-3, more than three weeks ago.
Mannarino advanced to the third round with a gutsy four-set win over Jordan Thompson of Australia 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3. Mannarino, who will be making his sixth round of 32 appearance at the US Open, has won nine of his last 11 hard-court matches and also reached the fourth round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open, where he made a good account of himself against the world’s No.1 Jannik Sinner 4-6, 6-7.
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Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarino Form
Ben Shelton and Adrian Mannarino Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 15, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 14, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 7, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Ben Shelton against Adrian Mannarino : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jan 19, 2024 - ATP Australian Open
Ben Shelton - Adrian Mannarino Key Points
- Ben Shelton defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 6-2 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.
- Ben Shelton is 23-7 on hard court in 2025.
- Adrian Mannarino defeated Jordan Thompson 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.
- Adrian Mannarino is 9-2 in his last 11 matches.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Ben Shelton wins, but Adrian Mannarino covers +4.5 Games
Adriano Mannarino has a slim chance of beating Ben Shelton in his current form. Mannarino got a first-hand experience of a new and improved Shelton when he lost to the American for the first time in the second round of the 2025 Canadian Open. In that match, Mannarino could not score even a single breakpoint as Shelton simply dominated him on the serve. For a seasoned player like Mannarino, I expect the Frenchman to make the necessary adjustments to gain better results against the American. Although I highly doubt this change in strategy will result in a win, I am definitely sure that Mannarino will play Shelton much better than he did a few weeks ago in Toronto.
Our betting prediction for Adrian Mannarino vs. Ben Shelton: Adrian Mannarino +4.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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