Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
9/28/25 16:25
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction:

 

Over 48.5

-115
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NFL Picks

One of the best games on the Week 4 Sunday slate in the NFL will see the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Baltimore Ravens. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Chiefs and the Ravens.

Baltimore enters this game with a record of 1-2, having most recently lost to the Detroit Lions in Week 3 by a score of 38-30. The Ravens’ offense had a total of 318 yards, while its defense allowed 426 yards. Quarterback Lamar Jackson threw for 288 yards and three touchdowns, while running back Derrick Henry led the team in rushing with 50 yards and one touchdown.

As for Kansas City, they enter this game with a record of 1-2, having most recently beaten the New York Giants in Week 3 by a score of 22-9. The Chiefs’ offense had a total of 306 yards, while its defense allowed 281 yards. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 224 yards and a touchdown, while running back Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing with 45 yards.

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
19
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
0.333 3 1 0 2
25
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
0.333 3 1 0 2

Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 22, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
38 :  30
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
17 :  41
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
40 :  41
Buffalo Bills

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
25 :  27
Buffalo Bills

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
14 :  28
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 4, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
10 :  35
Baltimore Ravens
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 22, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
38 :  30
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
17 :  41
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
14 :  28
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 4, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
10 :  35
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 21, 2024 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
17 :  34
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
24 :  19
Baltimore Ravens
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
40 :  41
Buffalo Bills

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
25 :  27
Buffalo Bills

Dec 25, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
31 :  2
Houston Texans

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
35 :  14
New York Giants

Nov 25, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
30 :  23
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
16 :  18
Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  9
New York Giants

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
20 :  17
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  27
Los Angeles Chargers

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  40
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
29 :  32
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 18, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
14 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
20 :  17
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
29 :  32
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 18, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
14 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 21, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  27
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 29, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
17 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  9
New York Giants

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  27
Los Angeles Chargers

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  40
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
0 :  38
Denver Broncos

Dec 25, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
29 :  10
Pittsburgh Steelers

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  7
Cleveland Browns

Baltimore Ravens against Kansas City Chiefs : Head to Head (H2H)

Baltimore Ravens

25 %

Draw

0 %

Kansas City Chiefs

75 %

Sep 5, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
20 :  27
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 28, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  10
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 19, 2021 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
35 :  36
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 28, 2020 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
34 :  20
Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs: Form Analysis

Baltimore, on the other hand, has started the season with a record of 1-2 after losing to the Detroit Lions this past Monday night. Despite the loss, the Ravens’ offense has been the best this season as they are averaging 37.0 points per game, which ranks 1st in the NFL.

“The Kansas City Chiefs have not started 1-2 since the 2021-2022 NFL Season.”

The Chiefs finally got their first win of the season in Week 3 against the New York Giants, but still do not look to be themselves. Kansas City’s offense is averaging just 20.0 points per game, which ranks 21st in the NFL.

Baltimore Ravens & Kansas City Chiefs Squad Analysis

Without a doubt, the standout players on Baltimore are quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Derrick Henry. Jackson has thrown for 722 yards this season, and he has nine touchdowns with no interceptions. He has also rushed for 118 yards and one touchdown.

“Baltimore’s Derrick Henry is averaging 80.7 rushing yards per game and has three touchdowns.”

Patrick Mahomes is the main standout so far this season for the Chiefs, and he has thrown for 669 yards, with three touchdowns and one interception. 

Other than Mahomes, Tyquan Thornton has quickly become a top target and has 171 receiving yards with two touchdowns over three games.

Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. Kansas City is 1-2 ATS this season
  2. Kansas City is averaging 20.0 points per game this season
  3. Baltimore is 1-2 ATS this season
  4. Baltimore is averaging 37.3 points per game this season

Our Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Kansas City and Baltimore have had rough starts to the season, and as such, both have a record of 1-2. This means that by the end of this game, one of these two teams will have started 1-3.

Because of that, we are going to target the over in this matchup. Despite their defensive struggles, the Ravens still have the top scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 37.3 points per game. Kansas City has not had the same success, but they are likely to improve as the season moves along. 

The Chiefs have also had some defensive issues this season and are susceptible to allowing some big plays. For that reason, our Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens prediction is: Over 48.5 Total Points.

Prediction:

 

Over 48.5

-115
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Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs - Other Interesting Picks

Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown

Odds -165

While the Ravens have not looked their best this season, one common factor has been Derrick Henry. Aside from his multiple fumbles, Henry has scored a touchdown in two of the three games this season. 

Kansas City has allowed three touchdowns to running backs this season as well, so they have had issues defending the run and running backs in general. Further, Henry is averaging about 80 rushing yards per game, and he will continue to be the focal point of the Ravens’ offense. For that reason, backing Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown will be our second pick.

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Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks