Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Los Angeles Chargers
12/27/25 16:30
Houston Texans

Prediction:

 

UNDER 39.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks

The Houston Texans will try to keep their playoff hopes alive when they take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday, December 27, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. Kickoff for this battle between AFC Contenders is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. EST with coverage provided by the NFL Network.

Houston got off to a very slow start this season, losing their first three right out of the gate. After the loss to the Broncos dropped their record to 3-5, the future looked grim, but then things changed, and they started stacking wins. With a 23-21 victory against the Raiders last week, their win streak sits at seven consecutive games.  A stellar defense has led the way, with the offense doing just enough to keep them on the right side of the scoreboard. A lackluster offensive line has struggled to open lanes for the run game, but hasn’t been bad when it comes to pass protection. C.J. Stroud has been sacked 23 times (20th in the league). As for the Chargers, it hasn’t always been pretty, and they have had to deal with a number of injuries. But they come into this game having won four in a row and seven of their last eight. They are fresh off a big win over the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, 34-17. Prior to that, they edged out the Chiefs, 16-13, and beat the Eagles by three as well, 22-19.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
6 Houston Texans
0.706 17 12 5
9 Los Angeles Chargers
0.647 17 11 6

Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans Latest Matches

Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
17 :  34
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
13 :  16
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 8, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
22 :  19
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
31 :  14
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
35 :  6
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
25 :  10
Pittsburgh Steelers
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 8, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
22 :  19
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
31 :  14
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
25 :  10
Pittsburgh Steelers

Oct 23, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
37 :  10
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
24 :  38
Indianapolis Colts

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
10 :  27
Washington Commanders
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
17 :  34
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
13 :  16
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
35 :  6
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
20 :  27
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  29
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
21 :  18
Los Angeles Chargers
Houston Texans
Houston Texans Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  21
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
40 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
10 :  20
Houston Texans

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
16 :  20
Houston Texans

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  19
Buffalo Bills

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  16
Houston Texans
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  21
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
40 :  20
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  19
Buffalo Bills

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
36 :  29
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
15 :  18
Denver Broncos

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
26 :  15
San Francisco 49ers
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
10 :  20
Houston Texans

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
16 :  20
Houston Texans

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  16
Houston Texans

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
27 :  19
Houston Texans

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
10 :  44
Houston Texans

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans

Los Angeles Chargers against Houston Texans : Head to Head (H2H)

Los Angeles Chargers

0 %

Houston Texans

100 %

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
32 :  12
Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans Key Points

  1. The Chargers lead the all-time series vs. the Texans 6-4; Houston has won three of the last four.
  2. Houston is 8-7 ATS, and the Chargers are 8-6-1.
  3. The OVER is 5-9-1 for the Texans and 6-8-1 for the Chargers.
  4. Betting Public: 48% of moneyline tickets and 52% of the handle are on the Texans.

Our Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Prediction

The line has moved from +142 for the Texans to as low as +105, which tells us the Texans have been getting a fair amount of support at sportsbooks to warrant the shift. With how well their defense has been playing, the Chargers' offense has a long day ahead of it. However, at the same time, the same can be said for LA’s defense. It is not as good as Houston’s, but it is one of the league's better units. But I’d still lean towards Houston to win; however, given how well both squads have been playing, the UNDER is the best bet for this game.

Our Texans vs. Chargers Pick: UNDER 39.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 39.5

-105
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Picks