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by Lou Aguila in NFL Picks
After securing their first win this season, the Atlanta Falcons will now attempt to establish a winning streak as they clash heads with the Carolina Panthers on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium.
The Falcons are -225 moneyline favorites against the Panthers, who are 8-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
Current Form:
The Falcons hounded the Minnesota Vikings in their week 2 matchup last week, 22-6. Atlanta’s defense stepped up big time, allowing Minnesota only 198 total yards. The win helped Atlanta regain their confidence after their heartbreaking 20-23 loss to Tampa Bay in Week 1. The Panthers will enter week 3 still winless after losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars 10-26 and the Arizona Cardinals 22-27 in the first two weeks. Against Arizona, Carolina rallied from a 3-27 deficit to move within five points, 22-27, with 1.58 left on the clock. Unfortunately, the Panthers ran out of time to pull off a comeback.
Key Statistics:
The Falcons rank 19th in the NFL in average passing yards per game (198.5 yards) but 4th in rushing yards per game (143.5). They only average 21.0 points per game, though they boast the second-best defense in terms of points allowed per game (14.5).
The Panthers rank 14th in passing yards per game (222.5), 28th in rushing yards (81.0), while averaging 16.0 points per game, which is the third-lowest points output in the league. After allowing their first two opponents to score 20+ points, Carolina ranks 23rd in points allowed per game (26.5).
Quarterback Matchup:
Falcons QB Michael Fenix Jr. (433 yards, 40-63, 1 TD) vs. Panthers QB Brice Young (53-90, 4 TD, 3 INT).
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Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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12
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0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
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29
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0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers Latest Matches
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Atlanta Falcons against Carolina Panthers : Head to Head (H2H)
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Atlanta Falcons - Carolina Panthers Key Points
- Atlanta is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games against Carolina.
- Atlanta is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
- Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
- Carolina is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference South division.
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Our Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Prediction
The Falcons are a strong pick to cover -5.5 points against the Panthers because of their suffocating defense. After surrendering 23 points against the high-octane Bucs offense, Atlanta’s D dismantled the Vikings, holding them to 6 points in their week 2 win. Michael Fenix Jr. doesn’t have eye-popping numbers for a starting quarterback, but he still gets the passing score by not committing costly turnovers.
Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games, but they are also 2-7 in their last 9 games. Brice Young threw three touchdowns in the loss to the Cardinals; however, he has already recorded three interceptions after two games in his young career. Young cannot afford to commit costly errors against the Falcons, who average 3.5 sacks per game.
Fearless Forecast: ESPN Match Predictor gives the Falcons a 56.7 percent win probability for this match. If Atlanta were to win this match, the defense would have to match, if not outdo, their performance in Week 2. Atlanta 20, Carolina 7.
Our betting prediction for the Atlanta Falcons vs. the Carolina Panthers: The Falcons -5.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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