Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Arsenal
4/11/26 07:30
Bournemouth

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

The early Premier League game this Saturday takes place in the English capital as sixty thousand fans congregate at the Emirates to see table-leaders Arsenal welcome 13th-place Bournemouth. Looking at all the factors, I feel that a low-scoring affair is more plausible than the early odds make out.

First of all, Arsenal had a taxing game in the week in the Champions League, in Portugal, only claiming the win with one goal in the last minutes of the game. Therefore, in view of the upcoming second leg, The Gunners certainly won’t be looking to go all guns blazing here and risk anything silly. Besides, we all know how Arsenal excel defensively and at keeping the goals to a minimum.

On the flip side, Bournemouth are now in a position where they don’t need to worry about the bottom three, whilst they know it's unlikely that they’ll make it higher up the table, so I feel they’ll be more than happy with a tie against a top-rate Arsenal side. Plus, The Cherries haven’t gotten past a tie in all of their last five matches, failing to net in three.

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Arsenal vs Bournemouth Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Arsenal
85 38 26 7 5 +44
6 Bournemouth
57 38 13 18 7 +4

Arsenal and Bournemouth Latest Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
D W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Everton

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Arsenal
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Everton

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Arsenal
4 :  0
Wigan

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Sunderland
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Mansfield Town
1 :  2
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  4
Arsenal
Bournemouth
Bournemouth Latest matches
W D D D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 20, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Brentford

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth
W W D D D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 20, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Brentford

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Sunderland

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Tottenham
D D W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 19, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Bournemouth

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Arsenal against Bournemouth : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

50 %

Draw

17 %

Bournemouth

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Oct 19, 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Arsenal

Jul 24, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  1
Bournemouth

May 4, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Bournemouth

Sep 30, 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  4
Arsenal

Arsenal against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Raya
4
B. White
2
W. Saliba
6
G. Magalhaes
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
36
M. Zubimendi
41
D. Rice
20
N. Madueke
29
K. Havertz
11
G. Martinelli
14
V. Gyokeres
9
Evanilson
22
E. Kroupi
16
M. Tavernier
37
Rayan
10
R. Christie
8
A. Scott
3
A. Truffert
5
M. Senesi
23
J. Hill
20
A. Jimenez
1
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bournemouth

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

P. Hincapie

C. Mosquera

B. White 76'

M. Salmon

Midfielder

M. Dowman

N. Madueke 54'

L. Trossard

G. Martinelli 54'

C. Norgaard

Forward

E. Eze

K. Havertz 54'

G. Jesus

M. Zubimendi 76'

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

C. Mandas

Defender

A. Smith

A. Jimenez 90'

B. Diakite

Midfielder

A. Toth

E. Kroupi 85'

D. Brooks

Rayan 70'

T. Adams

R. Christie 70'

Forward

A. Adli

B. Doak

E. Unal

Evanilson 90'

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Hein

Defender

J. Timber

R. Calafiori

Midfielder

M. Odegaard

M. Merino

Forward

B. Saka

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

J. Soler

M. Akinmboni

Midfielder

L. Cook

J. Kluivert

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Bournemouth
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France E. Kroupi (13 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (6 Assists) , 
Norway M. Odegaard (6 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Senesi (5 Assists) , 
France A. Truffert (5 Assists)

Arsenal - Bournemouth Key Points

  1. Arsenal will be priorising the Champions League quarter-final, taking place four days after.
  2. Only one out of Arsenal’s last six have consisted of more than two goals scored.
  3. Bournemouth have only conceded more than one goal once in their last eight.
  4. Only one out of Bournemouth’s last five have consisted of over 2.5 goals.
  5. Bournemouth will be content with a tie at a difficult Emirates ground.
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Our Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction

Despite the five goals shared when Arsenal and Bournemouth last met back in January, both sides only created an expected goal of just above 1.00. Additionally, The Cherries have been scoring a lot less frequently since the departure of starman Semenyo, as well as the injury of Kluivert. 

Given this, Bournemouth know it’ll be hard to break down Arteta’s men on their home turf, and surely will be satisfied with a tie here. On a similar note, Arsenal won’t see any need to exert more efforts than necessary, and will also be content with a simple win.

Our Arsenal vs Bournemouth Pick: Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Arsenal vs Bournemouth Picks