Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP US Open Picks
Still unscathed after three rounds at the US Open, Alex Michelsen will try to bank on his surging form when he takes on Tomas Martín Etcheverry for a spot in the quarterfinals.
Michelsen offers strong value at +100 to cover -5.5 games.
Current Form:
Alex Michelsen has steamrolled his first three opponents at the US Open. The American rising star demolished Federico Cina 6-4, 6-1, 6-0, Brandon Nakashima 6-3, 6-4, 6-4, and Daniel Mérida 7-6, 6-4, 6-3 to reach the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the second time.
Tomas Martín Etcheverry also entered the fourth round of a hard-court Grand Slam for the first time after vanquishing compatriot Mariano Navone, 6-4, 6-4, 6-3. Etcheverry also swept Vít Kopřiva 6-3, 6-4, 6-0 and outdueled Jacob Fearnley 6-3, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 in the first two rounds.
The Matchup: Michelsen and Etcheverry will play against each other for the first time.
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Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Form
Alex Michelsen and Tomas Martin Etcheverry Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 14, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 7, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Alex Michelsen - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Key Points
- Alex Michelsen is 24-9 on hard courts in 2026.
- Alex Michelsen reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the second time.
- Tomás Martín Etcheverry is 8-8 on hard courts in 2026.
- Tomás Martín Etcheverry is 26-21 overall in 2026.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction
The Difference Maker: Alex Michelsen boasts a 65 percent win rate on hard courts in his career. Tomas Martin Etcheverry holds a 49 percent win rate on this surface.
Michelsen has also taken down a better set of opponents such as Montreal Masters runner-up Brandon Nakashima and Spanish rising star Daniel Merida. None of the players Etcheverry defeated on his way to the fourth round are known to be threats on hard courts.
What to Expect: Michelsen rolls into the quarterfinals with a surgical win over Etcheverry. Michelsen has won 80 percent of his first serves and dropped only two service games.
It’s hard for any player to beat an opponent who is churning out these kinds of numbers on the serve. Michelsen will easily cover -5.5 games.
Fearless Forecast: Alex Michelsen wins 6-3, 6-4, 4-6, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry: Alex Michelsen -5.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.