Best NBA Win Total Bets

Win totals take up much of our attention when it comes to making preseason NBA picks. Every team is given a line months before the campaign tips off, opening up plenty of time for analysis.

Ahead of the 2026-27 campaign, the totals of the Los Angeles Clippers and Toronto Raptors were held back due to the elongated saga surrounding Kawhi Leonard.

Now we have lines for every team, and with the season a matter of weeks away, we’ve picked out our favorite win total bets.

Portland Trail Blazers Under 41.5 Wins (-105)

Ja Morant, Damian Lillard, and Jrue Holiday would’ve been an incredibly exciting triumvirate half a decade ago. In 2026-27, it represents an ill-fitting Portland Trail Blazers roster.

Morant hasn’t been a valuable player in four years. Holiday probably has to come off the bench for ego reasons. Lillard is coming off an Achilles tear as he heads into his age-36 season.

We haven’t even got to 2023 third-overall pick Scoot Henderson. Where does he fit into this backcourt logjam? Or Shaedon Sharpe, who is set to miss most of the season through injury.

There’s talent on this roster, including Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, and Toumani Camara, but none of it makes much sense. Even after winning 42 games last season, it’s hard to see how the Blazers are above .500 in 2026-27.

Detroit Pistons Over 49.5 Wins (-105)

These Detroit Pistons won 60 games last year. Tobias Harris and Isaiah Stewart have departed, with John Collins and Isaiah Joe as the two headline additions.

The Eastern Conference is stronger this year, and there will be fewer gimme wins with the tanking reform. Still, the main threat to the Pistons going over this number is the elongated free agency from Jalen Duren.

If Duren gets a big deal and returns to the team, the Pistons should pretty comfortably win 50+ games. Harris will be missed, but Joe and Collins should aid their halfcourt offense.

Cleveland Cavaliers 50+ Wins (+130)

The Cleveland Cavaliers have won 50+ games in three of their four seasons since Donovan Mitchell arrived from the Utah Jazz. This once again looks like a highly productive regular-season team.

Yes, James Harden’s extension comes with long-term peril and playoff downside. Yes, they are banking on a small sample of Peyton Watson as a plus two-way wing.

Harden is still a floor raiser in the regular season and Mitchell has been one of the league’s most consistent 82-game performers over the last five years. A lack of depth is a fair concern, but that’s not enough to put us off this price.

Phoenix Suns Under 40.5 Wins (-105)

Mark Williams is going to miss at least half of the season. Miles Bridges, albeit at an absurd trade price, is an upgrade at the four. The Phoenix Suns won 45 games last year and will be eyeing a similar win tally this time around.

They were outscored by 1.8 points per 100 possessions when Devin Booker wasn’t on the floor, though, and it’s still hard to envisage this being a functional offense without Booker.

Phoenix is the caliber of team that could be hit hardest by the lottery changes. They are bound to drop more games to the league’s weaker teams.

Charlotte Hornets Under 39.5 Wins (-120)

Trading LaMelo Ball and Bridges was the right move for the long-term future of the Charlotte Hornets. It also means a step back in 2026-27, despite having a solid roster around franchise cornerstones Kon Knueppel and Brandon Miller.

There’s an encouraging mix of veterans and young talent, plus the Hornets went scorched Earth for the final few months of the 2025-26 season.

LaMelo’s absence means the offense will be less dynamic, though, and these Hornets are outside the top 10 when ranking the Eastern Conference.

Memphis Grizzlies 35+ Wins (+300)

It’s all to play for in the mid-tier of the Western Conference. The top two are miles ahead of the rest, with the Minnesota Timberwolves, Denver Nuggets, Houston Rockets, and Los Angeles Lakers likely taking the remainder of the automatic playoff spots.

Every other team, other than the miserable Sacramento Kings, has a realistic chance of making the play-in. And yes, that includes the Memphis Grizzlies, despite this feeling like the beginning of a rebuild.

Cameron Boozer should have a pretty significant impact on winning by rookie standards. When healthy, Zach Edey is a legitimate difference maker. In Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Stewart, Ty Jerome, and several others, the Grizz have a surplus of serviceable rotation players.

Is 35+ wins so far-fetched? It looks like serious value at this price.

New Orleans Pelicans 30+ Wins (+130)

The New Orleans Pelicans have won 47 games combined across the last two seasons. Outside of Trey Murphy III, the roster is almost completely devoid of shooting. Zion Williamson and prized asset Derik Queen are not a functional frontcourt pairing.

We’re not being overly ambitious here, though. We aren’t saying they’ll make the playoffs. Thirty wins should be more than within reach for a team as talented as this.

Dejounte Murray consistently puts up good numbers in the regular season, Herb Jones is an elite wing defender, and there’s plenty of scoring punch in Jeremiah Fears, Bennedict Mathurin, and Saddiq Bey.

Minnesota Timberwolves 50+ Wins (+140)

In their last three seasons, the Timberwolves’ win totals read: 56, 49, 49. That’s as good as a guarantee they will be in the ballpark of 50 wins.

Only two Western Conference teams are locks to win more games than Minnesota.

There are fewer easy wins on the schedule with teams motivated to compete down the stretch. These Timberwolves should still be a top 10 defensive team thanks to Rudy Gobert and Jalen McDaniels, while LaMelo improves their offensive upside.

Minnesota is probably the third-best team in the West. We’d expect a three seed to get 50+ wins.

Denver Nuggets, New York Knicks, & Cleveland Cavaliers 45+ Wins (+115)

The last time the Denver Nuggets failed to win 45 games? 2016-17. For the Knicks? The last season before Jalen Brunson’s arrival, 2021-22. The Cavs have met this threshold in every year since Mitchell arrived.

If these teams have reasonable health, they should all cruise past this mark. Cleveland has a pretty high floor in the regular season compared to some of its East peers. Denver has overcome adversity in previous years and still got into the high-40s.

Washington Wizards, Utah Jazz, & Dallas Mavericks 30+ Wins (+115)

The Dallas Mavericks have no reason to tank as they don’t have a first-round pick next summer. After years of losing, the Utah Jazz are ready following some lottery luck.

Trades for Anthony Davis and Trae Young showed that the Washington Wizards have had enough of irrelevance. AJ Dybantsa, Alex Sarr, Davis, and Young is a quartet that should be relatively competitive, and 30 wins is achievable even if we account for Davis missing time.

The biggest threat to this parlay is probably Dallas if they trade Kyrie Irving. Utah has the highest regular-season upside of the trio, and should go past this number easily, while the Wizards’ greatest challenge is the depth of the East.