Best Player Prop Bets For Week 7 of the NFL Season
by Sam Cox
Week 7 doesn’t look the most enticing on paper. The Bills are on a bye, as are the Ravens, with Lamar Jackson hopefully healthy for Week 8. The Joe Burrow-less Bengals faced the Steelers on Thursday night, before the Rams without Puka Nacua go head-to-head with the Jaguars in London.
The redzone slate is largely unappealing, aside from the Colts taking on the Chargers. Monday night has a pair of interesting games with the Texans, Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Lions in action.
Despite an uninspiring slate, there is value aplenty to be found in the player prop markets. Here are our five best bets, with odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Drake Maye 240+ Passing Yards (+106)
Drake Maye has had over 240 passing yards in four out of six games. Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, and Dan Marino are the only other quarterbacks aged 23 or younger to have five straight games with 200+ passing yards and a 100.0 or better passer rating.
Maye showed promise in 2024. In 2025, he’s exceeding all expectations. There are very few quarterbacks who have a legitimate argument they are better than Maye as it stands.
This weekend is another favorable matchup for the sophomore star. The Titans have the 11th-lowest pressure rate. Only seven teams have missed more tackles. Just seven teams have defended fewer passes. It’s going to be another eye-catching box score from Maye.
Jaxson Dart Under 167.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Just four teams have defended more passes than Denver. The Broncos are tied for the lowest opponent pass completion percentage.
The Giants have improved along the offensive line, but Jaxson Dart is still going to face pressure from a Denver defensive line that pressures the quarterback on a league-leading third of snaps. Dart will have to use his legs even more frequently than he did against the Eagles.
It might seem harsh taking the under with how Dart threw the ball last week, but this Denver defense is a serious challenge for a rookie quarterback. New York is going to lean heavily on its run game.
De’Von Achane 60+ Rushing Yards (-106)
De’Von Achane just had 128 rushing yards and two touchdowns in Week 6. He has had 60+ rushing yards in three of the last four games.
A repeat of his Week 6 heroics is very unlikely against a Browns defense that allows only 3.1 yards per carry, but these odds still seem very generous on 60 or more rushing yards.
Of the 25 players with 300 or more rushing yards, only six average more yards per carry than Achane. In that group, Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the only player outside the top six in rushing yards with better efficiency than Achane.
Rico Dowdle To Score a Touchdown (+130)
Teams have scored against the Jets in 49.2% of their drives. New York is no better than a mediocre ground defense and has conceded the 10th-most rushing yards per game.
Other props are hard to judge for Rico Dowdle after his outrageous performances in the last two weeks. Scoring a touchdown is a much more reasonable prediction to make, considering he has found the endzone in three of the last our games.
This Jets team is 28th in points allowed per game. They rank 27th in expected points contributed by the defense. It’s another opportunity for Dowdle to nail down his usage when Chuba Hubbard returns.
Justin Herbert Under 272.5 Passing and Rushing Yards (-113)
This line seems 10+ yards too high. The Chargers’ offensive line is severely depleted. Week 6 saw Bobby Hart start at right tackle in his first NFL game since 2022 – the group ranks 27th per PFF.
Los Angeles is facing a Colts team which is in the top 10 in pressure rate and passes defended. Justin Herbert has gone under this line in each of the last three games.
It’s a pass-heavy offense, and Indy’s pressure might force Herbert to scramble for a few yards, but this is a big number with how the Chargers have looked on offense since Week 3.
