Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP US Open Picks
Reigning US Open champion Carlos Alcaraz sets his sights on another big win over Yibing Wu in the third round of the 2026 US Open.
Alcaraz is priced at -140 to cover -7.5 games against Wu, who is making his debut in the third round of a Grand Slam.
Current Form:
Carlos Alcaraz dropped a set for the first time in this tournament, but that did not stop the former world No.1 from producing another stellar win over the big-serving Jaime Faria, 4-6, 6-0, 6-3, 6-2. Alcaraz, a two-time US Open winner, is 19-2 on the hard court in 2026.
Yibing Wu barged into the third round with a pair of straight-set wins over Aussies Adam Walton 7-6, 6-2, 7-5 and James Duckworth 7-5, 6-3, 6-1. Wu is 16-9 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Alcaraz swept Wu 7-6, 6-3 in their first meeting at the 2024 Shanghai Masters.
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Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 23, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
Aug 12, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 12, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 11, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 10, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Yibing Wu against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Oct 6, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Yibing Wu - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Carlos Alcaraz is returning from a wrist injury.
- Carlos Alcaraz is 19-2 on the hard court in 2026.
- Yibing Wu is 1-6 vs. top-10 players
- Yibing Wu is making his third-round debut at a Grand Slam tournament.
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Our Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Key Stats: Carlos Alcaraz has converted 11 of 19 break points for a 57.9 percent conversion rate in two matches at the 2026 US Open.
What to Expect: Yibing Wu has been serving really well in this tournament, facing only 7 break points so far. However, Alcaraz’s potent return game is going to pose a myriad of problems for the Chinese, who is entering new territory after reaching the third round of a Grand Slam for the first time.
Wu has a chance to stage a fast start against Alcaraz as he did in Shanghai two years ago. But once the Spaniard adapts to his game, it’s all over for Wu.
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz wins 7-6, 6-1, 6-2
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Yibing Wu: Carlos Alcaraz -7.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
