Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Villarreal
1/24/26 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Madrid to win and Kylian Mbappe to score

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 by Simon Day | in LaLiga Picks

Third place Villarreal host second place Real Madrid in a huge La Liga showdown at El Madrigal on Saturday night. 

Following last week's 2-0 victory over Levante, Madrid are just one point behind leaders Barcelona. French striker Kylian Mbappe was once again on the scoresheet in that game, taking his tally for the season to a remarkable 19 goals in 19 league games. If Mbappe can maintain that incredible form, Madrid have every chance of toppling Barca at the top of the table.

Villarreal's 2-0 defeat at Betis last weekend has effectively ended their title hopes, but it has still been a magnificent season so far for the Yellow Submarines. Their tally of 41 points puts them seven points clear of the sides chasing a top four place, so barring a dramatic collapse in form, they look set to reach next season's Champions League. 

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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 +42
3 Villarreal
72 38 22 6 10 +26

Villarreal and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Villarreal
Villarreal Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
1 :  2
Ajax

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  0
Villarreal

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Alavés

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  3
Villarreal

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Racing Santander
2 :  1
Villarreal
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
1 :  2
Ajax

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Alavés

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
2 :  3
FC Copenhagen

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  0
Getafe

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Mallorca
L W D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  0
Villarreal

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
1 :  3
Villarreal

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Racing Santander
2 :  1
Villarreal

Dec 3, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CA Antoniano
1 :  1
Villarreal

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  3
Villarreal

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
6 :  1
Monaco

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Levante

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Albacete
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Betis
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
6 :  1
Monaco

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Levante

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Betis

Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Sevilla

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  2
Celta Vigo
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Albacete
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Villarreal against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Villarreal

17 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
2.83
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal

Mar 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 5, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
4 :  4
Real Madrid

Dec 17, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Villarreal

Apr 8, 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  3
Villarreal
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Picks

Villarreal against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Villarreal

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
L. Junior
6
P. Navarro
8
J. Foyth
12
R. Veiga
24
A. Pedraza
17
T. Buchanan
10
D. Parejo
18
P. Gueye
20
A. Moleiro
7
G. Moreno
9
G. Mikautadze
7
Vinicius Junior
10
K. Mbappe
30
F. Mastantuono
5
J. Bellingham
6
E. Camavinga
15
A. Guler
18
A. Carreras
24
D. Huijsen
17
R. Asencio
8
F. Valverde
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Villarreal
Villarreal
Goalkeeper

A. Tenas

Defender

S. Cardona

R. Marin

J. Foyth 23'

Midfielder

T. Partey

D. Parejo 77'

C. Macia

Forward

T. Oluwaseyi

G. Moreno 70'

A. Perez

G. Mikautadze 77'

N. Pepe

T. Buchanan 70'

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

S. Mestre

Defender

F. Garcia

D. Alaba

D. Carvajal

D. Aguado

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

J. Cestero

Forward

B. Diaz

A. Guler 80'

Rodrygo

G. Garcia

F. Mastantuono 74'

Missing players

Villarreal
Villarreal
Defender

L. Costa

S. Mourino

W. Kambwala

Midfielder

S. Comesana

Forward

P. Cabanes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

A. Ruediger

T. Alexander-Arnold

F. Mendy

E. Militao

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Forward

Endrick

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Villarreal
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Georgia G. Mikautadze (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Best assists
Ivory Coast N. Pepe (8 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (9 Assists)

Villarreal - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Kylian Mbappe is averaging a goal every 88 minutes in La Liga this season
  2. Villareal have lost their last 3 games against Real
  3. Madrid have won their last 4 league matches
  4. Villareal have lost 2 of their last 3 home matches
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Our Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction

It has been a fairytale season so far for Villarreal, but we are seeing signs that their magic is running out. 

Marcelino's side were very poor at Betis last weekend, so it is hard to see them being able to stop a Real side that are playing their best football of the season. 

More specifically, it is hard to see the home side being able to stop the prolific Kylian Mbappe, so we are backing the away side to triumph, with Mbappe once again finding the net. 

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Real Madrid is: Madrid to win and Kylian Mbappe to score.

Prediction:

 

Madrid to win and Kylian Mbappe to score

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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.