Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

Prediction published on 9/4/26, 12:05 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 9/4/26 at 12:07 PM in ATP US Open Picks

After annihilating his Japanese foe in the second round, Frances Tiafoe faces another tough matchup against Valentin Vacherot in the third round of the 2026 US Open.

96 percent of bets have been placed on Tiafoe to win, but Vacherot’s ability to generate powerful serves and deliver quality shots could pose problems for the American.

Current Form:

Valentin Vacherot outslugged Kamil Majchrzak 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 to reach the third round of the 2026 US Open. The former Shanghai Masters champion bombarded Majchrzak with 17 aces and won 81 percent of his first serves to secure his spot in the round of 32. Vacherot, who improved to 10-9 on hard courts in 2026, swept Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 in the first round.

After surviving a first-round scare against Martin Damm Jr., Frances Tiafoe recaptured his potent form to demolish Rei Sakamoto, 6-3, 7-5, 7-5. Tiafoe overcame Sakamoto’s 18 aces by winning 37 return points and converting 4 break chances. A finalist at the 2026 Cincinnati Open, Tiafoe is now 22-9 on the hard court.

The Matchup: Vacherot and Tiafoe will play against each other for the first time. Tiafoe is a clear favorite at -195, but Vacherot is bringing solid value in the set market, where he is priced at -140 to cover +1.5 sets.