Valencia vs Alavés Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Valencia
3/8/26 16:00
Alavés

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

-180
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 by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Valencia and Alavés face off this Sunday at the Mestalla in a high-stakes encounter between two sides struggling to find consistency as the La Liga season enters its final third. Valencia's recent form has been nothing short of alarming, with the Che losing four of their last five matches.

Their latest disappointment, a 2-1 defeat to Villarreal, highlighted a recurring inability to hold leads and a defense that has become increasingly prone to late-match lapses. Positioned in the lower half of the table, Valencia's proud history is currently being tested by a squad that seems to be losing its tactical identity under heavy pressure.

Alavés enters this fixture in a similarly fragile state. A 2-0 loss to Levante in their most recent outing underscored their offensive deficiencies, as they failed to capitalize on several clear-cut chances.

Their last five games have seen a mix of draws and losses, including a 2-2 thriller against Girona that showed flashes of potential, but ultimately, they remain mired in a battle for mid-table mediocrity. Both teams are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone, making this "six-pointer" a defining moment for their respective seasons.

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Valencia vs Alavés Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Valencia
49 38 13 10 15 -9
14 Alavés
43 38 11 10 17 -12

Valencia and Alavés Latest Matches

Valencia
Valencia Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Valencia

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Valencia

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Valencia
D D W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Osasuna

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Valencia
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
3 :  2
Espanyol

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Elche

Dec 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  1
Mallorca
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Valencia

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Valencia

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Valencia

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Valencia

Jan 15, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Burgos
0 :  2
Valencia

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
4 :  1
Valencia
Alavés
Alavés Latest matches
W L L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 27, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
2 :  0
Alavés

Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  2
Getafe

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

Jan 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Alavés
D W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  2
Getafe

Feb 4, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

Jan 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  1
Betis

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Real Oviedo
L L L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 27, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
2 :  0
Alavés

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés

Jan 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Alavés

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Alavés

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Alavés

Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
3 :  0
Alavés

Valencia against Alavés : Head to Head (H2H)

Valencia

0 %

Draw

33 %

Alavés

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

Oct 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  0
Valencia

May 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Valencia

Dec 22, 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Alavés

Jul 24, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
0 :  1
Alavés

May 5, 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Alavés

Sep 2, 2023 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Valencia
Valencia vs Alavés Picks

Valencia against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11

Valencia

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
S. Dimitrievski
12
T. Correia
4
U. Nunez
24
E. Coemert
14
J. Gaya
17
L. Ramazani
2
G. Rodriguez
23
F. Ugrinic
11
L. Rioja
8
J. Guerra
6
U. Sadiq
15
L. Boye
11
T. Martinez
10
C. Alena
18
J. Guridi
8
A. Blanco
7
A. Perez
17
J. Otto
5
J. Pacheco
23
C. Protesoni
14
N. Tenaglia
1
A. Sivera

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Alavés

Substitutes

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

C. Rivero

Defender

J. Vazquez

R. Saravia

C. Tarrega

Midfielder

Pepelu

B. Santamaria

A. Almeida

J. Guerra 83'

Forward

D. Lopez

L. Ramazani 83'

H. Duro

F. Ugrinic 74'

A. Danjuma

L. Rioja 70'

D. Raba

T. Correia 82'

D. Otorbi

Alavés
Alavés
Goalkeeper

R. Fernandez

G. Swiderski

Defender

V. Koski

Y. Enriquez

C. Protesoni 30'

Midfielder

A. Guevara

C. Alena 68'

Calebe

D. Suarez

J. Guridi 68'

Forward

I. Diabate

M. Diaz

T. Martinez 84'

A. Rebbach

Missing players

Valencia
Valencia
Defender

D. Foulquier

M. Diakhaby

J. Copete

Alavés
Alavés
Defender

F. Garces

Midfielder

P. Ibanez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Valencia
CD Huachipato Alavés
Top Goalscorer
Spain H. Duro (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain T. Martinez (14 Goals)
Best assists
Spain L. Rioja (6 Assists) , 
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (6 Assists)
Best assists
Spain C. Alena (4 Assists) , 
Algeria A. Rebbach (4 Assists) , 
Spain A. Perez (4 Assists)

Valencia - Alavés Key Points

  1. The Over is 2-3 in Valencia's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-1-1 in Alaves's last 5 games
  3. Valencia are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Alaves are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Valencia vs Alavés Prediction

The injury report for Valencia is particularly daunting as of March 4. They will be without defensive stalwarts Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier, the latter of whom is out for the season with a knee injury. Diego López and Lucas Beltrán are also listed as doubtful, further depleting their attacking options. Alavés is dealing with its own personnel issues, as Victor Parada and Pablo Ibáñez are both serving suspensions. In terms of recent performance, Hugo Duro remains Valencia's best hope for a goal, having led the team with seven strikes this season. Alavés will look to Lucas Boyé to break their goal-scoring drought, though his service has been limited over the past two weeks.

Betting markets currently view Valencia as the slight favorite, largely due to the home-field advantage at the Mestalla. However, with both teams conceding an average of over a goal per game and struggling to find the win column, the under on total goals is a popular play. Valencia's defensive absences might give Alavés an opening, but the visitors' poor away record suggests they may lack the clinical edge to fully exploit it. This is likely to be a gritty, low-scoring affair dominated by midfield battles. Our prediction for Valencia vs. Alavés: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals

-180
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.