Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Paul Tamayo | in NBA Picks
The Toronto Raptors (15-11) visit the Miami Heat (14-11) in an NBA 2025-26 game on Monday, December 15, at the Kaseya Center in Miami.
Toronto comes in trying to snap a four-game losing streak, while Miami looks to protect home court and stay near the upper half of the Eastern Conference standings.
Recently, the Heat fell 117-108 to the Orlando Magic in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Miami actually raced out to a 16-point first-quarter lead before Orlando’s Desmond Bane caught fire with 37 points and six threes.
Over their last 10 games, the Heat are 5-5 but have averaged nearly 119 points per contest, showing how potent their offense is when they get in rhythm. Newly-acquired scorer Norman Powell continues to be Miami’s top scoring option, averaging 24.6 points per game on efficient shooting.
As for the Raptors, they’ve dropped four straight and six of their last nine, including a 117-101 loss to the New York Knicks in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Toronto exploded for 39 first-quarter points behind Brandon Ingram’s hot start but faded as the game went on.
Despite their recent downward spiral, the Raptors still have a slightly better offensive rating than the Heat. But it's on the defense that the Heat packs an advantage.
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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
0.561 | 82 | 46 | 36 | 1 |
|
17
|
0.524 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 2 |
Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Dec 9, 2025 - NBA
Dec 6, 2025 - NBA
Dec 5, 2025 - NBA
Dec 3, 2025 - NBA
Dec 1, 2025 - NBA
Nov 29, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 6, 2025 - NBA
Dec 1, 2025 - NBA
Nov 29, 2025 - NBA
Nov 26, 2025 - NBA
Nov 24, 2025 - NBA
Nov 19, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 9, 2025 - NBA
Dec 5, 2025 - NBA
Dec 3, 2025 - NBA
Nov 23, 2025 - NBA
Nov 21, 2025 - NBA
Nov 14, 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Dec 9, 2025 - NBA
Dec 7, 2025 - NBA
Dec 5, 2025 - NBA
Dec 4, 2025 - NBA
Dec 2, 2025 - NBA
Nov 30, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 9, 2025 - NBA
Dec 7, 2025 - NBA
Dec 5, 2025 - NBA
Dec 4, 2025 - NBA
Dec 2, 2025 - NBA
Nov 26, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 30, 2025 - NBA
Nov 29, 2025 - NBA
Nov 19, 2025 - NBA
Nov 15, 2025 - NBA
Nov 13, 2025 - NBA
Nov 11, 2025 - NBA
Miami Heat against Toronto Raptors : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Feb 21, 2025 - NBA
Dec 12, 2024 - NBA
Dec 1, 2024 - NBA
Nov 29, 2024 - NBA
Jul 19, 2024 - NBA Summer League
Apr 14, 2024 - NBA
Players list
N. Powell
D. Mitchell
A. Wiggins
S. Fontecchio
I. Quickley
S. Barnes
B. Ingram
Substitutes
P. Larsson
K. Jakucionis
D. Smith
T. Herro
J. Jaquez Jr.
N. Jovic
K. Johnson
J. Shead
J. Walter
J. Battle
J. Mogbo
C. Murray-Boyles
Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors Key Points
- The Heat are coming off a 117-108 loss to the New York Knicks.
- The Raptors are coming off a 117-101 loss to the New York Knicks.
- The Heat will miss the services of Pelle Larsson.
- The Raptors will miss the services of RJ Barrett.
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Our Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
With a healthier team profile and a better defensive rating, the Heat are favored in this game at home. At the same time, Toronto’s ball movement and length on the wings give the Raptors enough upside to keep things interesting if they can rediscover their shooting touch.
The Heat are still the favorites on Monday, but the Raptors could keep this game close in the end. Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors match is: Raptors (+6.5) cover the spread.All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.