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by Bill Christy in NHL Picks
The Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-3) will look to move above .500 when they take on the Washington Capitals (13-9-2) on the road late Friday.
Toronto is coming off a 2-1 win over the Blue Jackets that helped them avoid another losing streak. Before the win, the Leafs had lost 7 of their previous 8 games. What had been a great start to the season has turned into many questioning if that start was just a fluke. While the Leafs are near the top in goals scored on the season (8th in NHL), they are near the bottom in goals allowed on the season (28th in NHL).
For Washington, the latter part of November has been good. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and done so by scoring a total of 29 goals during that 6-game stretch. A win here at home over Toronto would put them on another 3-game win streak. While Toronto has struggled in stopping opposing offenses, the Capitals have not, and rank 8th in the league in goals allowed on the season.
Will Toronto be able to pick things up defensively against the Capitals? Or will they continue their lackluster defensive efforts and find themselves needing to play catch-up once again?
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
28 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
|
16
|
23 | 23 | 10 | 13 | -7 |
Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 26, 2025 - NHL
Nov 22, 2025 - NHL
Nov 20, 2025 - NHL
Nov 18, 2025 - NHL
Nov 15, 2025 - NHL
Nov 13, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 20, 2025 - NHL
Nov 18, 2025 - NHL
Nov 13, 2025 - NHL
Nov 9, 2025 - NHL
Nov 8, 2025 - NHL
Nov 5, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 26, 2025 - NHL
Nov 22, 2025 - NHL
Nov 15, 2025 - NHL
Nov 11, 2025 - NHL
Nov 1, 2025 - NHL
Oct 29, 2025 - NHL
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 26, 2025 - NHL
Nov 24, 2025 - NHL
Nov 22, 2025 - NHL
Nov 20, 2025 - NHL
Nov 19, 2025 - NHL
Nov 17, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 26, 2025 - NHL
Nov 24, 2025 - NHL
Nov 22, 2025 - NHL
Nov 19, 2025 - NHL
Nov 17, 2025 - NHL
Nov 15, 2025 - NHL
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 20, 2025 - NHL
Nov 13, 2025 - NHL
Nov 11, 2025 - NHL
Nov 8, 2025 - NHL
Nov 6, 2025 - NHL
Nov 1, 2025 - NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs against Washington Capitals : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Dec 28, 2024 - NHL
Dec 6, 2024 - NHL
Nov 13, 2024 - NHL
Mar 28, 2024 - NHL
Mar 20, 2024 - NHL
Oct 24, 2023 - NHL
Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto’s last 18 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto.
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Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction
We highly doubt the Leafs will suddenly be able to keep an offense under wraps and will likely need to make this game a high-scoring affair in order to have a chance on the road. The oddsmakers have this money line close, which indicates to us that it will be a close game. And like we said, if it is going to stay close, it is likely because both teams are scoring often. Give us the over here in Washington.
Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Over 6.5
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.