Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
11/28/25 17:00
Washington Capitals

Prediction:

 

Over 6.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy in NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs (10-10-3) will look to move above .500 when they take on the Washington Capitals (13-9-2) on the road late Friday.

Toronto is coming off a 2-1 win over the Blue Jackets that helped them avoid another losing streak. Before the win, the Leafs had lost 7 of their previous 8 games. What had been a great start to the season has turned into many questioning if that start was just a fluke. While the Leafs are near the top in goals scored on the season (8th in NHL), they are near the bottom in goals allowed on the season (28th in NHL).

For Washington, the latter part of November has been good. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and done so by scoring a total of 29 goals during that 6-game stretch. A win here at home over Toronto would put them on another 3-game win streak. While Toronto has struggled in stopping opposing offenses, the Capitals have not, and rank 8th in the league in goals allowed on the season.

Will Toronto be able to pick things up defensively against the Capitals? Or will they continue their lackluster defensive efforts and find themselves needing to play catch-up once again?

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
7
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
28 24 13 11 14
16
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
23 23 10 13 -7

Toronto Maple Leafs and Washington Capitals Latest Matches

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  1
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Montreal Canadiens

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 18, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  3
Chicago Blackhawks

Nov 13, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
4 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 18, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
2 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 13, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
4 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 9, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
5 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
5 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 5, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  1
Columbus Blue Jackets

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  5
Montreal Canadiens

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  3
Chicago Blackhawks

Nov 11, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Boston Bruins

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  2
Philadelphia Flyers

Oct 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Columbus Blue Jackets
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Winnipeg Jets
3 :  4
Washington Capitals

Nov 24, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
1 :  5
Washington Capitals

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  3
Washington Capitals

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
8 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Nov 19, 2025 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
4 :  7
Washington Capitals

Nov 17, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
1 :  2
Washington Capitals
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 26, 2025 - NHL

Winnipeg Jets
3 :  4
Washington Capitals

Nov 24, 2025 - NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets
1 :  5
Washington Capitals

Nov 22, 2025 - NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning
5 :  3
Washington Capitals

Nov 19, 2025 - NHL

Edmonton Oilers
4 :  7
Washington Capitals

Nov 17, 2025 - NHL

Los Angeles Kings
1 :  2
Washington Capitals

Nov 15, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
3 :  2
Washington Capitals
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 20, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
8 :  4
Montreal Canadiens

Nov 13, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  6
Florida Panthers

Nov 11, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
4 :  1
Carolina Hurricanes

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
2 :  3
Tampa Bay Lightning

Nov 6, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  5
Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  4
Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs against Washington Capitals : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Maple Leafs

67 %

Washington Capitals

33 %

Dec 28, 2024 - NHL

Washington Capitals
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 6, 2024 - NHL

Washington Capitals
3 :  1
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 13, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  3
Washington Capitals

Mar 28, 2024 - NHL

Washington Capitals
1 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 20, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
7 :  3
Washington Capitals

Oct 24, 2023 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  1
Washington Capitals

Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toronto’s last 18 games.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 games on the road.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto.

Our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction

We highly doubt the Leafs will suddenly be able to keep an offense under wraps and will likely need to make this game a high-scoring affair in order to have a chance on the road. The oddsmakers have this money line close, which indicates to us that it will be a close game. And like we said, if it is going to stay close, it is likely because both teams are scoring often. Give us the over here in Washington.

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Over 6.5

Prediction:

 

Over 6.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Picks