Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul USA
Tommy Paul ATP 14
10/14/26 07:45
Zizou Bergs Belgium
Zizou Bergs ATP 39

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul covers -3.5 games

−110
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

Tommy Paul will rely on the lessons from his past win over Zizou Bergs again to cover -3.5 games in their fourth-round showdown in Shanghai.

Current Form:

Tommy Paul has breezed through to the fourth round with consecutive straight sets wins over Adolfo Vallejo 6-2, 6-2 and 2025 Shanghai Masters champion Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-2. The American recovered from a first-round exit in Tokyo a week ago, losing to Alejandro Tabilo 1-6, 2-6.

Zizou Bergs claimed the biggest win of his career by ranking after upsetting former world No.1 and current No.3 Carlos Alcaraz 7-5, 6-7. Bergs, who also defeated Ignacio Buse and Vit Kopriva in straight sets, is winning 81 percent of his first balls in Shanghai.

The Matchup: Paul demolished Bergs 6-1, 6-2 in their first meeting at the 2026 Indian Wells Open.

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Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs Form

Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs Latest Matches

Tommy Paul Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot

Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Alejandro Tabilo
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Sep 6, 2026 - ATP US Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  3
Tommy Paul

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Dino Prizmic
1 :  3
Tommy Paul
Zizou Bergs Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 12, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Zizou Bergs
2 :  0
Carlos Alcaraz

Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Ignacio Buse
0 :  2
Zizou Bergs

Oct 8, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Vit Kopriva
0 :  2
Zizou Bergs

Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  1
Zizou Bergs

Sep 18, 2026 - Davis Cup

Lukas Neumayer
1 :  2
Zizou Bergs

Sep 5, 2026 - ATP US Open

Zizou Bergs
2 :  3
Botic Van De Zandschulp

Tommy Paul against Zizou Bergs : Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

100 %

Zizou Bergs

0 %

Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Zizou Bergs
0 :  2
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs Picks

Tommy Paul - Zizou Bergs Key Points

  1. Zizou Bergs is 13-12 on hard courts in 2026.
  2. Zizou Bergs is 28-24 overall in 2026.
  3. Tommy Paul is 22-11 on hard courts in 2026.
  4. Tommy Paul is 41-18 overall in 2026.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs Prediction

The Difference Maker: In their first game this year, Paul neutralized Bergs’ big serves, allowing the Belgian to win 54 percent of his first balls and 38 percent of his second serves.

What to Expect: Paul diffuses Bergs’ bombs again to win in straight sets. Paul has really found his game in Shanghai, winning 75.4 percent of his first serves and, more importantly, creating a ton of break chances (10 of 16 break point conversions). Bergs is brimming with confidence right now after his win over Alcaraz, but Paul has the tactical profile to halt his momentum.

Fearless Forecast: Tommy Paul wins 6-3, 7-5

Our betting prediction for Tommy Paul vs. Zizou Bergs: Tommy Paul -3.5 games

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul covers -3.5 games

−110
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.