Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Miami Picks
A hot pick to cover -3.5 games (-110), Tommy Paul will try to tame the streaking Raphael Collignon in their third-round showdown at the 2026 Miami Open.
Current Form:
Tommy Paul eyes a spot in the round-of-16 as he mixes it up with Raphael Collignon of Belgium.
12-6 on the season, Paul is looking for a spark to his campaign that has been underwhelming so far. After reaching the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open, Paul managed to reach the final of the 2026 Delray Beach Open but bombed out in the third round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open, losing to Joao Fonseca 2-6, 3-6.
Meanwhile, Collignon captured two impressive wins in Miami, topping former top-10 Grigor Dimitrov in three sets, 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, and Acapulco Open champion Flavio Cobolli 7-5, 6-3. Collignon has put together a solid 11-4 record in the season, making him a tricky opponent for the American.
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Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Form
Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 8, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 21, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 19, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 4, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 8, 2026 - Davis Cup
Feb 7, 2026 - Davis Cup
Jan 10, 2026 - Adelaide International
Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon Key Points
- Raphael Collignon is 11-4 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Raphael Collignon is 4-3 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
- Tommy Paul is 6-2 vs. players ranked below the top-50 in 2026.
- Tommy Paul owns a 64.2 percent win rate in hard-court matches.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Prediction
Tommy Paul is my pick here, and he will win this in straight sets. Collignon has made a strong impression with his wins over Dimitrov and Cobolli, but I feel Paul’s playing style and experience will counterpunch the counterpuncher Collignon in this match.
Paul is an all-rounder who can adapt to most playing styles and exploit his opponents’ weaknesses. Collignon will have his moments in this match, though in the end, it will be the American making the right play in the crucial moments. I have Paul winning 6-4, 6-4.
Our betting prediction for Tommy Paul vs. Raphael Collignon: Tommy Paul -3.5 games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.