Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 21 USA
Tommy Paul
3/22/26 16:00
ATP 62 Belgium
Raphael Collignon

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul -3.5 Games

-110
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Miami Picks

A hot pick to cover -3.5 games (-110), Tommy Paul will try to tame the streaking Raphael Collignon in their third-round showdown at the 2026 Miami Open.

Current Form:

Tommy Paul eyes a spot in the round-of-16 as he mixes it up with Raphael Collignon of Belgium.

12-6 on the season, Paul is looking for a spark to his campaign that has been underwhelming so far. After reaching the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open, Paul managed to reach the final of the 2026 Delray Beach Open but bombed out in the third round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open, losing to Joao Fonseca 2-6, 3-6.

Meanwhile, Collignon captured two impressive wins in Miami, topping former top-10 Grigor Dimitrov in three sets, 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, and Acapulco Open champion Flavio Cobolli 7-5, 6-3. Collignon has put together a solid 11-4 record in the season, making him a tricky opponent for the American.

Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Form

Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon Latest Matches

Tommy Paul Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Adrian Mannarino

Mar 8, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Joao Fonseca
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Zizou Bergs
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

Feb 21, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Learner Tien

Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Tommy Paul
Raphael Collignon Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami

Raphael Collignon
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

Mar 19, 2026 - ATP Miami

Raphael Collignon
2 :  1
Grigor Dimitrov

Mar 4, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Joao Fonseca
2 :  0
Raphael Collignon

Feb 8, 2026 - Davis Cup

Ivan Ivanov
0 :  2
Raphael Collignon

Feb 7, 2026 - Davis Cup

Alexander Vasilev
0 :  2
Raphael Collignon

Jan 10, 2026 - Adelaide International

Andrea Vavassori
2 :  0
Raphael Collignon

Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon Key Points

  1. Raphael Collignon is 11-4 on the 2026 ATP season.
  2. Raphael Collignon is 4-3 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
  3. Tommy Paul is 6-2 vs. players ranked below the top-50 in 2026.
  4. Tommy Paul owns a 64.2 percent win rate in hard-court matches.

Our Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Prediction

Tommy Paul is my pick here, and he will win this in straight sets. Collignon has made a strong impression with his wins over Dimitrov and Cobolli, but I feel Paul’s playing style and experience will counterpunch the counterpuncher Collignon in this match.

Paul is an all-rounder who can adapt to most playing styles and exploit his opponents’ weaknesses. Collignon will have his moments in this match, though in the end, it will be the American making the right play in the crucial moments. I have Paul winning 6-4, 6-4.

Our betting prediction for Tommy Paul vs. Raphael Collignon: Tommy Paul -3.5 games.

Prediction:

 

Tommy Paul -3.5 Games

-110
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignon Picks