Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open
ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
On Saturday, Tommy Paul will attempt to get over the disappointment of exiting early in Montreal. In Cincinnati, He's up against Hubert Hurkacz, who came out on top when these two players recently met at Wimbledon. Can the American deliver an improved effort back on home soil?
Tommy Paul is quite heavily favored by the early betting market ahead of this match, but it doesn't take much to pick his claims apart, lets be honest. The American doesn't approach this match in thriving form having lost against Learner Tien in straight sets most recently, while he's up against a player who arguably showed better form than him in Montreal, a player who has already played in Cincinnati, a player who has a very good hard-court record against Paul. In other words, Hurkacz is not quite getting the respect that he deserves and thus goes down as a value bet.
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Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz Form
Tommy Paul and Hubert Hurkacz Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 7, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 14, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 7, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Tommy Paul against Hubert Hurkacz : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
May 15, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 16, 2024 - ATP Italian Open
Mar 13, 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Tommy Paul - Hubert Hurkacz Key Points
- Hubert Hurkacz has already played in Cincinnati and could be better adjusted to the conditions.
- When the pair met earlier in 2026, Hubert Hurkacz came out on top.
- Hubert Hurkacz has won three of his previous four hard-court matches against Tommy Paul.
- Tommy Paul has won just one of his last four matches on all surfaces.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction
Tommy Paul is going to be expected by many to improve now that he's back in the US, but his efforts in Montreal don't exactly point towards him being a serious challenger, while we should not forget how he floundered against Hurkacz at Wimbledon last month.
Sure, Paul has often performed well on US hard courts, but his hard-court record against Hurkacz is far from amazing, winning only one out of four previous hard-court renewals of this match. Factor in that the Polish player has already played in Cincinnati and he starts to make serious appeal at lenient-looking odds of +130.
Our Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz Pick: Hubert Hurkacz to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
