Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open

Prediction published on 1/22/26, 6:45 PM  by Tyler Doty | Modified on 1/22/26 at 11:00 PM in ATP Australian Open Picks

Tommy Paul is looking very calm at the start of the Australian Open. A semi-finalist in 2023, the American has shown excellent form in the first two rounds and confirms that he feels good in Melbourne. After defeating his compatriot Aleksandar Kovacevic (6-4, 6-3, 6-3) in the first round, the world number 20 made short work of Argentina's Thiago Agustin Tirante in the second round (6-3, 6-4, 6-2) to reach the third round without expending any unnecessary energy. This is a very important detail for this match, which will decide who goes through to the fourth round of the Australian Open, where he will face a tough opponent, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, in the clash of the day.

A fourth-rounder last year, the Spaniard is in great form at the start of the season, having reached the last four in Adelaide before heading to Melbourne. After a quick victory over Austria's Filip Misolic (6-2, 6-3, 6-3) to start his tournament, the world number 14 then emerged victorious from a titanic battle against Reilly Opelka after four hours of effort (6-3, 7-6, 5-7, 4-6, 6-4). It was a great victory, but one that could take its toll on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who, since returning from injury a year ago, has struggled when playing back-to-back matches. This four-hour marathon could have consequences in his third-round match against Tommy Paul.