Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Miami Picks
One of the US contingent will be in action in Miami Gardens on Tuesday. Having defeated two lower-ranked players in his first two matches at this tournament, Tommy Paul goes up against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, who is also an inferior player according to the ATP Rankings, though there's not much in it. This is the furthest that Paul has ever been at the Miami Open, previously reaching the fourth round just once before, doing so back in 2023.
To be honest, this won't be easy for Paul, despite what the early odds suggest. Tomas Martin Etcheverry is arguably playing the best tennis of his career right now, and he's proved that he's a serious competitor. The way in which the Argentine beat Zizou Bergs in straight sets tells us that he's here to compete. If we consider that Paul has failed to win either of his two matches at this tournament in straight sets, then it's not difficult to see Etcheverry making life very uncomfortable for the American.
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul Form
Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Tommy Paul Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 21, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 8, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 21, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry is in hot form having won his first two Miami matches in straight sets.
- Taylor Fritz has lost to multiple lower-ranked players in recent weeks.
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry has lost none of his last eight matches in straight sets.
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry has lost just two of his last 21 matches in straight sets.
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Our Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul Prediction
For my money, this really is a better chance for Tomas Martin Etcheverry to get seriously competitive than the early odds would have us believe. Yes, Tommy Paul is the higher-ranked player, but he hasn't been in great form of late, with Tomas Martin Etcheverry has looked in very good condition in Miami, beating two decent players in straight sets. Such form tells me that he could easily push a slightly out-of-form Paul more than the early market believes.
After all, the Argentine has not made a habit of losing in straight sets in 2026, so do not be surprised if he makes life tough for his American opponent.
Our Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul Pick: Tomas Martin Etcheverry +1.5 Set Handicap.
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