Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
9/26/26 12:00
Texas Longhorns

Prediction:

 

Tennessee Volunteers +4.5

-108
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks

College Football’s Week 4 slate continues on Saturday with plenty of intriguing games, one of which will feature an SEC matchup between the 1st-ranked Texas Longhorns and the 14th-ranked Tennessee Volunteers. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Longhorns and the Volunteers.

Texas enters this game with a record of 3-0, and this will be their first SEC game of the season. The Longhorns are coming off a blowout win in Week 3, as they beat UTSA by a score of 30-6. This was an easy win for Texas, who produced 400 yards of offense while allowing just 142 yards. The only issue for this particular game for Texas is that it is their first road test. This alone is likely to rattle them, which could give Tennessee the chance to keep this one close. 

As for Tennessee, they also enter this game with a record of 3-0 and will also be playing their first SEC game of the season. The Volunteers are coming off a 42-9 win against Kennesaw State, in which they had 446 yards of offense, while allowing 292 yards.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns Form

Table

Tennessee Volunteers and Texas Longhorns Latest Matches

Tennessee Volunteers
Tennessee Volunteers Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
42 :  9
Kennesaw State Owls

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
24 :  45
Tennessee Volunteers

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
56 :  9
Furman Paladins

Dec 30, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Illinois Fighting Illini
30 :  28
Tennessee Volunteers

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
24 :  45
Vanderbilt Commodores

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
11 :  31
Tennessee Volunteers
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
42 :  9
Kennesaw State Owls

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
56 :  9
Furman Paladins

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
24 :  45
Vanderbilt Commodores

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
42 :  9
New Mexico State Aggies

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
27 :  33
Oklahoma Sooners

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Tennessee Volunteers
34 :  31
Arkansas Razorbacks
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
24 :  45
Tennessee Volunteers

Dec 30, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Illinois Fighting Illini
30 :  28
Tennessee Volunteers

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
11 :  31
Tennessee Volunteers

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Kentucky Wildcats
34 :  56
Tennessee Volunteers

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide
37 :  20
Tennessee Volunteers

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
34 :  41
Tennessee Volunteers
Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
30 :  6
UTSA Roadrunners

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
24 :  23
Ohio State Buckeyes

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
59 :  7
Texas State Bobcats

Dec 31, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas Longhorns
41 :  27
Michigan Wolverines

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
27 :  17
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
52 :  37
Arkansas Razorbacks
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
30 :  6
UTSA Roadrunners

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
24 :  23
Ohio State Buckeyes

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
59 :  7
Texas State Bobcats

Dec 31, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas Longhorns
41 :  27
Michigan Wolverines

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
27 :  17
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
52 :  37
Arkansas Razorbacks
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Georgia Bulldogs
35 :  10
Texas Longhorns

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
38 :  45
Texas Longhorns

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Kentucky Wildcats
13 :  16
Texas Longhorns

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
29 :  21
Texas Longhorns

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Ohio State Buckeyes
14 :  7
Texas Longhorns

Sep 7, 2024 - NCAA

Michigan Wolverines
12 :  31
Texas Longhorns
Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns Picks

Tennessee Volunteers - Texas Longhorns Key Points

  1. Texas is 1-2 ATS this season
  2. Texas has not played a road game this season
  3. Tennessee is 1-0 ATS vs. Power 5 teams this season
  4. Tennessee is averaging 47.7 points per game this season

Our Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction

Texas is the clear favorite in this game; however, Tennessee looks to be the best betting option. This goes back to the fact that Texas has yet to play a game on the road this season. Further, the Longhorns needed a desperate comeback to even beat Ohio State back in Week 2, and they are only 1-2 ATS this season. 

There is also the fact that their quarterback, Arch Manning, has not played at his best on the road over the course of his career. While this is not a huge sample size, Tennessee’s defense is more than capable of pressuring Manning into making mistakes. For that reason, our Texas Longhorns vs. Tennessee Volunteers prediction is: Tennessee Volunteers +4.5.

Prediction:

 

Tennessee Volunteers +4.5

-108
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.