Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Green Bay Packers
9/24/26 20:15
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Over 44.5 points

-109
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 by Simon Day | in NFL Picks

Week Three of the NFL kicks off with a crunch TNF clash between the 0-2 Atlanta Falcons and the 1-1 Green Bay Packers. 

It has been an utterly dismal start to the season for the Falcons as they have been on the wrong end of two lopsided scorelines. However, they do welcome Michael Penix Jnr back into their starting line-up on Thursday, so will be hoping that the third year QB can breathe some much-needed life into their ailing offense.

Green Bay have been far from their best in the opening two weeks of the campaign, but a 26-yard field goal from Trey Smack did enable them to pick up a much-deserved win at the Jets in Week Two, so at least Matt LaFleur's side have something to build on. Getting the likes of Jordan Love and DK Metcalf back to their best is the most pressing concern for LaFleur, as unless that happens, it is impossible to see the Pack challenging in the ultra-competitive NFC North. 

Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
13 Green Bay Packers
0.5 2 1 1
32 Atlanta Falcons
0 2 0 2

Green Bay Packers and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers Latest matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

New York Jets
17 :  20
Green Bay Packers

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
39 :  22
Green Bay Packers

Jan 10, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
31 :  27
Green Bay Packers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
16 :  3
Green Bay Packers

Dec 27, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
24 :  41
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 20, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
22 :  16
Green Bay Packers
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 27, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
24 :  41
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
28 :  21
Chicago Bears

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
23 :  6
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 10, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
7 :  10
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
13 :  16
Carolina Panthers

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
27 :  18
Cincinnati Bengals
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

New York Jets
17 :  20
Green Bay Packers

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
39 :  22
Green Bay Packers

Jan 10, 2026 - NFL

Chicago Bears
31 :  27
Green Bay Packers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
16 :  3
Green Bay Packers

Dec 20, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
22 :  16
Green Bay Packers

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
34 :  26
Green Bay Packers
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
3 :  34
Carolina Panthers

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
20 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  24
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
19 :  26
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 11, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28 :  29
Atlanta Falcons
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 20, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
3 :  34
Carolina Panthers

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
19 :  17
New Orleans Saints

Dec 29, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  24
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
9 :  37
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  30
Carolina Panthers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 13, 2026 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
20 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
19 :  26
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 11, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
28 :  29
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
31 :  25
Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Picks

Green Bay Packers - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. Atlanta have conceded 54 points in their opening 2 games of the season
  2. There have been over 44.5 points in each of the last 3 Green Bay-Atlanta matchups
  3. There have been over 44.5 points in 6 of the Packers' last 8 games
  4. There have been over 44.5 points in 5 of the Packers' last 7 games

Our Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

This may not be the most exciting-looking TNF matchup of the season, but we do think there will be plenty of points at Lambeau Field on Thursday night. 

Michael Penix will be a significant (if somewhat erratic) upgrade under center for the Falcons, Bijan Robinson is always a big threat, whilst it is surely only a matter of time before Jordan Love and co hit their straps and begin putting up big numbers. 

Given those factors, we think the points line of 44.5 will easily be surpassed. 

Our prediction for Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons is: Over 44.5 points. 

Prediction:

 

Over 44.5 points

-109
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.