Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 10 USA
Taylor Fritz
9/3/26 14:00
ATP 95 Italy
Mattia Bellucci

Prediction:

 

Mattia Bellucci +5.5 games

+150
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP US Open Picks

Mattia Bellucci emerges as a valuable prospect to cover +5.5 games (+150) against Taylor Fritz in the second round of the 2026 US Open.

Bellucci, who won 88 percent of his first serves in his first-round win, pushed Fritz to the limit in their first meeting at Stuttgart earlier this year.

Current Form:

Taylor Fritz opened his US Open campaign in rousing form after demolishing Darwin Blanch, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4, in the first round. Fritz fired 14 aces and won 91 percent of his first serves. He also broke Blanch four times off the back of 37 return points. Fritz is 17-9 on hard courts in 2026.

Mattia Bellucci outclassed world No.118 Zsombor Piros 6-4, 6-2, 6-0 in the first round. Bellucci drilled 14 aces, won 88 percent of his first serves and converted 6 breakpoints in the match. Bellucci is 15-12 on the hard court in 2026.

The Matchup: Fritz outgunned Bellucci in their first meeting at Stuttgart earlier this year, 5-7, 7-5, 7-5. Fritz is heavily favored at -970, but Bellucci can make this second-round match tougher for the American if he brings his A-game.

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Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci Form

Taylor Fritz and Mattia Bellucci Latest Matches

Taylor Fritz Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 1, 2026 - ATP US Open

Taylor Fritz
3 :  0
Darwin Blanch

Aug 21, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Aug 19, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Christopher O'Connell

Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Daniel Merida

Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Thiago Agustin Tirante
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz
Mattia Bellucci Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 1, 2026 - ATP US Open

Mattia Bellucci
3 :  0
Zsombor Piros

Aug 25, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Mattia Bellucci
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Aug 23, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Martin Landaluce
1 :  2
Mattia Bellucci

Aug 15, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Mattia Bellucci
1 :  2
Jakub Mensik

Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Zachary Svajda
0 :  2
Mattia Bellucci

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

Taylor Fritz against Mattia Bellucci : Head to Head (H2H)

Taylor Fritz

100 %

Mattia Bellucci

0 %

Jun 12, 2026 - ATP Stuttgart Open

Mattia Bellucci
1 :  2
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci Picks

Taylor Fritz - Mattia Bellucci Key Points

  1. Mattia Bellucci is 15-12 on hard courts in 2026.
  2. Mattia Bellucci is 27-24 overall in 2026.
  3. Taylor Fritz is 17-9 on hard courts in 2026.
  4. Taylor Fritz won the 2026 Washington D.C Open.
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Our Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction

Key Stats: Mattia Bellucci is winning 73.5 percent of his first serves and saving 65.5 percent of breakpoints in hard-court matches in 2026. In his first match against Piros, Bellucci faced only four breakpoints after winning 87.5 percent of his first serves and scoring 14 aces.

What to Expect: Fritz should be a confident pick to win because of his big-match experience, but Bellucci has the weapons to push him to the limit in this particular matchup.

If Bellucci can replicate the impeccable serving he displayed against Piros, he will easily cover +6.5 games. In fact, Bellucci might have a solid shot at a cover on +5.5 games if he can hold his ground on the serve.

Fearless Forecast: Taylor Fritz wins 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-5

Our betting prediction for Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci: Mattia Bellucci +5.5 games

Prediction:

 

Mattia Bellucci +5.5 games

+150
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.