Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA French Open
WTA - WTA French Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
On Monday, there are loads of first-round matches for fans and bettors to get stuck into at the French Open. One match that catches the eye is the one between Tatjiana Maria and Elise Mertens. On the face of it, this is a very winnable match for Mertens, who currently ranks as the world number 23. However, she's not been perfect of late, while she disappointed early on at this tournament a year ago.
Clearly, the early market expects the Belgian to flourish here, and given the odds, you'd assume that she'll win this easy. However, it really does look as if the German competitor is being disrespected too much. Her recent clay-court form hasn't been much worse than Mertens', while she's never lost to Mertens in straight sets, winning a set in defeat when the pair last met on clay. On this basis, she's worth betting on to avoid a straight-set defeat at generous odds of +275.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Form
Tatjana María and Elise Mertens Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 20, 2026 - WTA Rabat Open
May 19, 2026 - WTA Rabat Open
May 7, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 6, 2026 - WTA Rome
Apr 21, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 18, 2026 - WTA Rouen
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 11, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 9, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 7, 2026 - WTA Rome
Apr 26, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 16, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Tatjana María against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jan 30, 2025 - WTA Singapore
Tatjana María - Elise Mertens Key Points
- At the French Open a year ago, Elise Mertens failed to win during the first round when a big favorite.
- When the pair last met on clay, Elise Mertens failed to win in straight sets.
- Elise Mertens has never beaten Tatjiana Maria in straight sets.
- Elise Mertens has only won one of her last six clay-court matches in straight sets.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Prediction
Let's face it, this is Elise Mertens' to lose, but the Belgian is far from the most reliable competitor, while she's far from unfamiliar with losing or underperforming when heavily fancied in the betting. She hasn't made a habit of winning in straight sets recently, while she's never beaten Tatjiana Maria in straight sets before. This is more than enough to conclude that she's being given far too much respect.
In other words, a bet on the German player, to avoid a straight-set defeat, offers value for money at odds of +275.
Our Tatjiana Maria vs Elise Mertens Pick: Tatjiana Maria +1.5 Set Handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.