Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA French Open

WTA - WTA French Open

WTA 52 Germany
Tatjana María
5/25/26 07:25
WTA 22 Belgium
Elise Mertens

Prediction:

 

Tatjana Maria +1.5 Set Handicap

+275
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

On Monday, there are loads of first-round matches for fans and bettors to get stuck into at the French Open. One match that catches the eye is the one between Tatjiana Maria and Elise Mertens. On the face of it, this is a very winnable match for Mertens, who currently ranks as the world number 23. However, she's not been perfect of late, while she disappointed early on at this tournament a year ago. 

Clearly, the early market expects the Belgian to flourish here, and given the odds, you'd assume that she'll win this easy. However, it really does look as if the German competitor is being disrespected too much. Her recent clay-court form hasn't been much worse than Mertens', while she's never lost to Mertens in straight sets, winning a set in defeat when the pair last met on clay. On this basis, she's worth betting on to avoid a straight-set defeat at generous odds of +275. 

Up to $200 to bet on Tatjana María - Elise Mertens! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Form

Tatjana María and Elise Mertens Latest Matches

Tatjana María Latest matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 20, 2026 - WTA Rabat Open

Yasmine Kabbaj
2 :  0
Tatjana María

May 19, 2026 - WTA Rabat Open

Diae El Jardi
0 :  2
Tatjana María

May 7, 2026 - WTA Rome

Tatjana María
0 :  2
Sorana Cirstea

May 6, 2026 - WTA Rome

Magda Linette
0 :  2
Tatjana María

Apr 21, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Tatjana María
0 :  2
Laura Samson

Apr 18, 2026 - WTA Rouen

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  0
Tatjana María
Elise Mertens Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 11, 2026 - WTA Rome

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Mirra Andreeva

May 9, 2026 - WTA Rome

Jasmine Paolini
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

May 7, 2026 - WTA Rome

Panna Udvardy
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Apr 26, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Elise Mertens
1 :  2
Karolina Pliskova

Apr 24, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Alexandra Eala

Apr 16, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Karolina Muchova
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Tatjana María against Elise Mertens : Head to Head (H2H)

Tatjana María

0 %

Elise Mertens

100 %

Jan 30, 2025 - WTA Singapore

Tatjana María
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Tatjana María - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. At the French Open a year ago, Elise Mertens failed to win during the first round when a big favorite.
  2. When the pair last met on clay, Elise Mertens failed to win in straight sets.
  3. Elise Mertens has never beaten Tatjiana Maria in straight sets.
  4. Elise Mertens has only won one of her last six clay-court matches in straight sets.
Up to $200 to bet on Tatjana María - Elise Mertens! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Prediction

Let's face it, this is Elise Mertens' to lose, but the Belgian is far from the most reliable competitor, while she's far from unfamiliar with losing or underperforming when heavily fancied in the betting. She hasn't made a habit of winning in straight sets recently, while she's never beaten Tatjiana Maria in straight sets before. This is more than enough to conclude that she's being given far too much respect. 

In other words, a bet on the German player, to avoid a straight-set defeat, offers value for money at odds of +275.

Our Tatjiana Maria vs Elise Mertens Pick: Tatjiana Maria +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Tatjana Maria +1.5 Set Handicap

+275
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tatjana María vs Elise Mertens Picks