Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
A hot pick to cover -3.5 games on Sunday, Lorenzo Musetti will attempt to secure his first win over Tallon Griekspoor in a dominant fashion.
Current Form:
After underachieving in Barcelona, Lorenzo Musetti sets his sights on a better finish in Madrid. Musetti opened his campaign in this tourney with a straight-set victory over Hubert Hurkacz 6-4, 7-6. The Italian is 3-2 on clay-court this year, crashing out in the second round of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters before a quarterfinal stint in Barca, where he lost to the eventual champion Arthur Fils 3-6, 4-6.
Tallon Griekspoor snapped a four-match losing streak with a 6-3, 6-4 win over Damir Dzumhur. After his infamous walkover against Daniil Medvedev in the final of the Dubai Tennis Championship, the Dutch veteran had suffered three consecutive opening-round exits in Marrakech, Monte Carlo, and Munich. Griekspoor sports a decent 63 percent win rate on clay.
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Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Tallon Griekspoor and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 5, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 2, 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Tallon Griekspoor against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Feb 12, 2024 - ATP Rotterdam
Tallon Griekspoor - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Tallon Griekspoor owns a 63 percent win rate on clay.
- Tallon Griekspoor is 2-0 head-to-head vs. Lorenzo Musetti
- Lorenzo Musetti owns a 66 percent win rate on clay.
- Lorenzo Musetti is 19-18 in third-round matches.
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Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Lorenzo Musetti outguns Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 4-6, 7-5
The Edge: Musetti showed flashes of his 2025 clay-court version in his straight-set win over Dzumhur. The Italian has been battling a variety of injuries this season, so seeing him not play to his full capacity on his favorite surface is quite disappointing. Still, Musetti is poised to end his losing streak against Griekspoor, who topped him in their previous two meetings on hard courts. The Dutch just ended a four-match win drought, which would make him ill-prepared to take on the former top-10 player.
The Bet: Musetti will cruise to a convincing win, so you'd better back him at -3.5 games. Lorenzo has too many weapons and big-match experience on clay to overwhelm Griekspoor, who hasn’t looked like himself after he suffered a hamstring injury before the final in Dubai. The clay is Musetti’s domain, and he will continue to get better as we draw closer to the French Open.
Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Tallon Griekspoor: Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 Games
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