Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Sturm Graz
10/22/26 12:45
Marseille

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day | in Europa League Picks

Two sides that suffered disappointing Matchday Two defeats lock horns at the Merkur-Arena on Thursday evening, as Sturm Graz host Marseille in a crucial Europa League clash. 

After opening their campaign with a solid 0-0 draw at home to Rennes, Sturm Graz were comprehensively outclassed at Bournemouth last week. Their 3-0 loss could have been a lot heavier were it not for some wasteful finishing from the hosts. However, Sturm did bounce back in style at the weekend, as they recorded a thumping 6-1 league win over Grazer AK.

Marseille are still searching for their first points of the Europa League season following defeats to Olympiakos and Besiktas. Marseille's domestic form has also been hugely underwhelming so far this season. They have lost four of their first league games and are currently languishing in ninth place in the Ligue 1 standings. 

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Sturm Graz vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
26 Sturm Graz
1 2 0 1 1 -3
31 Marseille
0 2 0 0 2 -4

Sturm Graz and Marseille Latest Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Latest matches
W D L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
6 :  1
Grazer AK 1902

Oct 15, 2026 - Europa League

Bournemouth
3 :  0
Sturm Graz

Oct 10, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Vienna
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

Sep 20, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
3 :  0
Sturm Graz

Sep 16, 2026 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
0 :  0
Rennes

Sep 13, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
LASK Linz
L W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
6 :  1
Grazer AK 1902

Sep 16, 2026 - Europa League

Sturm Graz
0 :  0
Rennes

Sep 13, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
2 :  1
LASK Linz

Aug 22, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  1
Austria Lustenau

Aug 15, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
SCR Altach

Aug 11, 2026 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
0 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 15, 2026 - Europa League

Bournemouth
3 :  0
Sturm Graz

Oct 10, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Vienna
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

Sep 20, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
3 :  0
Sturm Graz

Sep 5, 2026 - ÖFB Cup

Voitsberg
1 :  4
Sturm Graz

Aug 30, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
3 :  1
Sturm Graz

Aug 8, 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
0 :  2
Sturm Graz
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Oct 15, 2026 - Europa League

Marseille
0 :  1
Olympiacos

Oct 11, 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

Sep 20, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

Sep 17, 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Marseille

Sep 11, 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 15, 2026 - Europa League

Marseille
0 :  1
Olympiacos

Sep 20, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

Sep 6, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  3
Paris FC

Aug 21, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Strasbourg

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Oct 11, 2026 - Ligue 1

Troyes
0 :  2
Marseille

Sep 17, 2026 - Europa League

Besiktas Istanbul
4 :  1
Marseille

Sep 11, 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 30, 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Marseille

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Shahania
0 :  3
Marseille
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Picks

Marseille v Sturm Graz last Lineups

Sturm Graz

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

53
D. Khudyakov
23
A. Malic
2
J. Quarshie
30
P. Koller
27
L. Balbo
28
J. Heil
4
J. Gorenc-Stankovic
39
L. Weinhandl
78
V. Matoshi
19
S. Seidl
14
O. Diakite
9
A. Gouiri
14
I. Paixao
8
H. Abdelli
77
A. Harit
6
N. Tocukvu
42
N. Kamissoko
33
Emerson
19
G. Kondogbia
4
C. Egan-Riley
22
T. Weah
1
J. De Lange

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Marseille

Substitutes

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Goalkeeper

A. Helac

Defender

P. Petrovic

A. Vallci

N. Geyrhofer

Midfielder

B. Beganovic

A. Kayombo

J. Halwachs

J. Hodl

Forward

S. Wlodarczyk

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

T. Vermot

Defender

B. Meite

K. Bezahaf

N. Aguerd

U. Garcia

Midfielder

T. Mmadi

A. Gomes

Forward

K. Abdallah

N. Maupay

Missing players

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Marseille
Marseille
Defender

D. Cornelius

Sturm Graz and Marseille Stats in Europa League

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Marseille
Marseille
0%
Wins
0%
50%
Losses
100%
50%
Draws
0%
1.5
Average goals per match
3
0
Goals scored per match
0.5
1.5
Goals conceded per match
2.5
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
Both score
50%

Sturm Graz - Marseille Key Points

  1. Marseille have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 games
  2. There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 5 games
  3. There have been 14 goals in Marseille's last 3 away games
  4. Sturm Graz have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 9 games
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Our Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction

This is an extremely tough game to predict, so we are avoiding the moneyline here, and instead casting our eye over the goal markets. 

Clean sheets have been very hard to come by for both Marseille and Sturm Graz this season, so we are confident that both sides will find the net in Austria. 

There have been plenty of high scoring games involving these two teams in recent weeks, so we think the odds of 1.67 on the game featuring at least three goals look extremely short. 

Our prediction for Sturm Graz vs Marseille is: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.