Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open
ATP - ATP National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP National Bank Open Picks
Winner in 7 of his last 8 matches, Stefanos Tsitsipas looks in the right form to stage a memorable run in Montreal.
Tsitsipas has emerged as an attractive underdog pick to win over Joao Fonseca, who is only 4-3 on the hard court.
Current Form:
Stefanos Tsitsipas moved on to the next round of the 2026 Montreal Masters after a clinical 6-4, 6-4 win over Martin Damm Jr. Tsitsipas, who made it into the main draw via qualification, won 82 percent of his first serves and broke Damm Jr. four times to secure the easy win.
Joao Fonseca entered the Montreal Masters as the No.27 seed. The Brazilian wunderkind reached the third round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open before succumbing to an inspired Roman Safiullin 3-6, 3-6, 3-6.
The Matchup: Fonseca defeated Tsitsipas in their first meeting at the Davis Cup last year, 6-4, 3-6, 7-5.
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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca Form
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Joao Fonseca Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 1, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 19, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
Jul 18, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
Jul 17, 2026 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 16, 2026 - ATP Halle Open
Jun 2, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 31, 2026 - ATP French Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca Key Points
- Joao Fonseca is 4-3 on the hard court in 2026.
- Joao Fonseca is 13-11 vs. the top-100 players in 2026.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is 10-7 on the hard court in 2026.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is 8-13 vs. the top-50 players in 2026.
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Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca Prediction
The Difference Maker: Tsitsipas has won 7 of his last 8 matches, a run sparked by his title run in Gstaad last month. His only loss during this stretch came at the hands of Alex De Minaur in three sets. Despite the loss, the Greek showed that he can still go toe-to-toe with a top-10 player on hard-court conditions.
What to Expect: This match could go the distance just like their previous meeting. Fonseca possesses all the skills to deal heavy damage on the hard court, but he has been erratic as of late. On the other hand, Tsitsipas is peaking and has an opportunity here to stage a deep run in Montreal. Tsitsipas should pull off an upset here.
Fearless Forecast: Stefanos Tsitsipas wins 6-4, 4-6, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Joao Fonseca: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win.
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