Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Three-time Grand Slam winner Stanislas Wawrinka looks to extend his Cinderella run as he seeks a spot in the round of 16 against Taylor Fritz of the United States on Saturday.
Recommended Pick: Stanislas Wawrinka +6.5 Games
Potential Payout: $205 for every $105 Bet.
Current Form:
Wawrinka continues to turn back the hands of time as the 40-year-old Swiss star secured a stint in the third round of his last Australian Open after besting Arthur Gea of France 4-6, 6-3, 3-6, 7-5, 7-6. Wawrinka dug deep from his bag of tricks and squeezed the last ounce of energy from his stamina reserves to outlast a younger and more athletic Gea. Wawrinka recorded 92 points behind the first balls, and 38 return points on Gea’s first serves, while displaying nerves of steel in the tiebreaker in the fifth set.
After an underwhelming campaign at the United Cup, it’s safe to say that Fritz has regained his top-10 form after claiming surgical wins over Valentin Royer 7-6, 5-7, 6-1, 6-3 and Vit Kopriva 6-1, 6-4, 7-6. Fritz’s services have been absolutely devastating through the first two rounds in Melbourne. He averages 19.5 aces per match and is winning 79.5 percent of his first balls.
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Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Form
Stan Wawrinka and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 7, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 2, 2026 - United Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 10, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 6, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 4, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 3, 2026 - United Cup
Stan Wawrinka against Taylor Fritz : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Apr 12, 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Stan Wawrinka - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Taylor Fritz is averaging 19 aces per match at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Taylor Fritz is winning 79.2 percent of his first serves.
- Stan Wawrinka is 2-1 vs. Taylor Fritz.
- Stan Wawrinka has saved 66.7 percent of breakpoints through the first two rounds at the 2026 Australian Open.
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Our Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Taylor Fritz fends off pesky Stan Wawrinka in five sets 6-4, 4-6, 5-7, 6-3, 7-6
Reason: Wawrinka is playing like what he’s supposed to be; giving it all like there’s no tomorrow. The do-or-die attitude has powered Wawrinka to the third round of the Australian Open. The last time he got this deep in Melbourne was in 2020, when he played his final Grand Slam quarterfinals.
After a 1-2 slate at the United Cup, Fritz has calmly recorded two strong wins over Royer and Kopriva to return to the top-10 level. Fritz is getting a lot of free points with his massive serves, which is going to be his edge against Wawrinka in their duel.
I still believe Fritz will get the job done, but not before weathering a Wawrinka one last stand. Wawrinka has proven in the last two rounds that he still has the weapons to beat younger foes, though I just don’t know if these weapons are sharp enough to cut down a top-10 level foe.
Our betting prediction for Stan Wawrinka vs. Taylor Fritz: Stan Wawrinka +6.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.