Sporting Lisbon vs PSG Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
1/20/26 15:00
PSG

Prediction:

 

Trincao 1+ Shots on Target

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

The final UEFA Champions League game that I am interested in from a betting point of view on Tuesday evening is the one due to take place at Estádio José Alvalade, located in the Portuguese capital of Lisbon. Strong on home soil, the Sporting boys will take on a PSG team that has all but sewn up a place in the knockouts. As they sit in 14th position, the hosts should also fancy themselves to feature beyond the League Phase, and if they can get a positive result here, they may make it through as part of the top eight, thus avoiding a play-off. 

The Parisians head to Lisbon off the back of beating Lille in comfortable fashion on Friday, but they were unsuccessful when they last ventured out on the road, losing away to Paris FC in the Coupe de France. Can Luis Enrique's men deliver a performance that ensures they do not meet a similar fate here? Let's find out. 

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Sporting Lisbon vs PSG Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
PSG
PSG
13 6 4 1 1 +11
14
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
10 6 3 1 2 +4

Sporting Lisbon and PSG Latest Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Latest matches
W W W D L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 16, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

Jan 6, 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Jan 2, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 28, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Rio Ave

Dec 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 18, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jan 16, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

Jan 6, 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Dec 28, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Rio Ave

Dec 13, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

Nov 30, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Club Brugge
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 2, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 18, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
PSG
PSG Latest matches
D W W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 16, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

Jan 12, 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

Dec 20, 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

Dec 17, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo
W D W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 16, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

Jan 12, 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

Dec 17, 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo

Dec 6, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes
D W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

Dec 13, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG

PSG v Sporting Lisbon last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Silva
22
I. Fresneda
2
M. Reis
25
Goncalo Inacio
13
G. Vagiannidis
52
J. Simoes
5
H. Morita
10
G. Catamo
17
F. Trincao
31
L. Guilherme
97
L. Suarez
14
D. Doue
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
10
O. Dembele
8
F. Ruiz
17
Vitinha
24
S. Mayulu
25
N. Mendes
51
W. Pacho
5
Marquinhos
33
W. Zaire-Emery
30
L. Chevalier

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

R. Mangas

Z. Debast

D. Madeira Moreira

Midfielder

G. Kochorashvili

D. Braganca

A. Santos

Forward

F. Goncalves

R. Nel

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

R. Marin

M. James

Defender

Beraldo

I. Zabarnyi

L. Hernandez

Midfielder

N. Nsoki

Forward

B. Barcola

G. Ramos

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

M. Safonov

Defender

A. Hakimi

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

J. Neves

Forward

I. Mbaye

Q. Ndjantou

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato PSG
Top Goalscorer
Portugal F. Trincao (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Vitinha (4 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal G. Quenda (2 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco A. Hakimi (3 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon and PSG Stats in Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
PSG
PSG
50%
Wins
67%
33%
Losses
17%
17%
Draws
17%
3.33
Average goals per match
4.5
2
Goals scored per match
3.17
1.33
Goals conceded per match
1.33
17%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
83%
Over 2.5 goals
83%
17%
No goals conceded
33%
83%
Both score
67%

Sporting Lisbon - PSG Key Points

  1. Last time out in the UEFA Champions League, Trincao registered a shot on target.
  2. In three home UCL appearances this season, Trincao has registered four shots on target.
  3. Trincao has registered at least one shot on target in three out of three home UCL games this season.
  4. Per 90 minutes, Trincao averages 0.89 shots on target in the UEFA Champions League this term.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs PSG Prediction

Of course, this won't be an easy game for the Sporting boys, but do not be surprised if the hosts cause the Parisians a few issues, especially on the break. After all, we've seen that the PSG defense can be rocked against decent counter-offensive teams, and Sporting have plenty of pace and power on the break. One player who should enjoy himself under these conditions is Trincao, who frankly, looks generously priced to register at least one shot on target. 

Trincao is quick and direct, plus he knows how to hit on the break. He's also a threat from range, shooting an average of 2.67 times per 90 minutes in the UCL this season. Last time out in this competition, he fired off a shot on target, while he's tested the opposing keeper in each of Sporting's three UCL home games this season. Will he do so again here? At odds of +110, I'm betting that he does. 

Our Sporting vs PSG Pick: Trincao 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Trincao 1+ Shots on Target

+110
$300 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs PSG Picks