Marseille vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Marseille
1/21/26 15:00
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

Marseille or X

-130
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Champions League Picks

Liverpool recovered from a devastating start to the season in late November, embarking on a 12-match unbeaten run across all competitions. However, 2026 has been a year of disappointing draws for the Reds, the most recent being a 1-1 tie against relegation-threatened Burnley. Szoboszlai missed a penalty, Wirtz scored before halftime, and the Premier League champions now sit fourth, 14 points behind Arsenal.

After this setback, Arne Slot's team must now focus on the Champions League. They are currently on the cusp of the top eight, and on Wednesday, Liverpool will travel to France for their match at the Velodrome against Marseille. This Liverpool side is volatile and difficult to predict. PSV could thrash them at home, but they can also defeat Real Madrid and Inter at the San Siro. Therefore, they are -105 favorites to defeat Marseille.

Marseille, meanwhile, occupies third place in Ligue 1; after defeating Royal Union in Belgium, De Zerbi's team is in a Champions League qualifying position and is looking to string together three consecutive Champions League victories for the first time since 2010.

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Marseille vs Liverpool Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Liverpool
18 8 6 0 2 +12
25 Marseille
9 8 3 0 5 -3

Marseille and Liverpool Latest Matches

Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Jan 13, 2026 - French Cup

FC Bayeux
0 :  9
Marseille

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Monaco
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 4, 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

Dec 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
Monaco

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
4.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  5
Marseille

Jan 13, 2026 - French Cup

FC Bayeux
0 :  9
Marseille

Jan 8, 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

Dec 21, 2025 - French Cup

Football Bourg-En-Bresse Peronnas 01
0 :  6
Marseille

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Marseille
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W D D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 12, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
4 :  1
Barnsley

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 12, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
4 :  1
Barnsley

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland
W D W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Liverpool

Marseille against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
G. Rulli
62
A. Murillo
28
B. Pavard
5
L. Balerdi
32
F. Medina
22
T. Weah
23
P. Hojbjerg
19
G. Kondogbia
20
H. Traore
9
A. Gouiri
10
M. Greenwood
7
F. Wirtz
22
H. Ekitike
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
8
D. Szoboszlai
6
M. Kerkez
4
V. Van Dijk
2
J. Gomez
30
J. Frimpong
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Liverpool

Substitutes

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

J. Van Neck

J. De Lange

Defender

C. Egan Riley

A. Doubal

Midfielder

B. Nadir

G. Kondogbia 68'

T. Mmadi

A. Gomes

A. Vermeeren

D. Bakola

M. O'Riley

Forward

P. Aubameyang

A. Gouiri 67'

I. Paixao

H. Traore 68'

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

F. Woodman

Defender

A. Robertson

Midfielder

F. Chiesa

C. Jones

F. Wirtz 80'

T. Nyoni

W. Endo

Forward

C. Gakpo

H. Ekitike 79'

R. Ngumoha

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

N. Aguerd

Midfielder

Q. Timber

Forward

E. Nwaneri

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Paixao (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (5 Goals)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (4 Assists)
Best assists
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (4 Assists)

Marseille - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Liverpool and Marseille last faced each other in 2008
  2. Greenwood leads Ligue 1 in goals this season with 12 and has provided 3 assists
  3. Four of Marseille's last five matches have seen over 3.5 goals
  4. Marseille generated an xG of 2.84 in their last Ligue 1 match against Angers
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Our Marseille vs Liverpool Prediction

Besides Greenwood, Liverpool will also have to defend against Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, the veteran Gabonese striker who has repeatedly proven to be highly effective on Champions League nights, contributing 14 goals or assits in his last 14 Champions League appearances.

Marseille holds the record for the longest unbeaten run in Champions League history for a team without a draw. They have now gone 30 matches without a tie. However, Liverpool's recent struggles, adding to their 2025 form, suggest that Marseille is actually in a prime position to pull off an upset on Wednesday.

Our prediction for Marseille vs Liverpool is: Marseille to win or draw.

Prediction:

 

Marseille or X

-130
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Liverpool Picks