Serie A Picks & Predictions

Find our free predictions for the overall standings of Serie A, along with expert picks for every match of the 2025-2026 Italian soccer championship. Tons of useful info for your sports betting!

Serie A: Format and Predictions

The Italian league, known as Serie A, is considered one of the top five leagues alongside the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, and the Bundesliga. That’s one of the reasons why Serie A predictions are so popular. Throughout the tournament, bettors have the chance to place wagers on matches featuring Italy’s 20 best clubs.

From Matchday 1 to Matchday 38 (running from August to late May), our experts provide free Serie A predictions to help you make informed bets. Below, you’ll find our overall predictions, along with key stats and tips on how to make the best Serie A picks.

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Free Prediction for the Serie A Champion: Who Will Win the 2025-2026 Serie A?

Last year, the battle for the title was intense right up until the final day of Serie A. And for the 2025-2026 season, we hope to see plenty more suspense throughout the campaign, with lots at stake at every level.

On Italy's superb pitches, from the legendary San Siro (also known as Giuseppe Meazza) to the Juventus Stadium, via the Stadio Olimpico and the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, the best Italian clubs will battle it out not only for the Italian championship title, but also for European places, notably in the Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League, not to mention the fight to avoid relegation!

And, for the Serie A title, Napoli starts with a very slight lead among the bookmakers. And, for our part, we also believe that Napoli has what it takes to become the future Serie A champion in 2025-2026. However, we believe that the competition will be at least as fierce as last year, and we don't see an “easy” victory for Antonio Conte's men, who will be able to count on their new signing Kevin De Bruyne.

While clubs such as Juventus, AC Milan, Roma, and Atalanta still seem a step below in terms of competitiveness, it is Inter Milan, last year's champions and contenders until the very end, who are likely to be Napoli's main rivals once again. Our prediction for the 2025-2026 Serie A winner: Napoli will be Italian champions!

Serie A Outrights

• Napoli +125
• AC Milan +380
• Inter +430
• Roma +700
• Juventus +800
• Como +8000
• Atalanta +8000
• Fiorentina +10000
• Lazio +10000
• Bologna +15000
• Torino +40000
• Pisa +40000
• Cagliari +40000
• Verona +40000
• US Cremonese +40000
• Parma +40000
• Lecce +40000
• Udinese +40000
• Genoa +41000
• Sassuolo +41000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel.

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Serie A Top 4 Prediction: Who will qualify for the Champions League?

Just behind the future Italian champions, the clubs that finish second, third, and fourth in Serie A will secure their places in our next Champions League predictions for the 2026-2027 season.

And the bookmakers are offering bets on this top four. Just behind Napoli, who we predict will be the future Italian champions, Inter Milan, last year's runners-up, have what we believe to be what it takes to finish in the Champions League, as we even think they will be in contention for the title throughout the year.

Next, Juventus has finally regained its form in recent seasons and remains in third and fourth place in Serie A, after a very difficult 2022-2023 season. We believe it will once again be among the top four. For the last ticket, it's a close call between three clubs: AC Milan, Roma, and Atalanta. We're putting our money on the Giallorossi, who have hired an excellent coach (Gian Piero Gasperini) who did a wonderful job with Atalanta. Our top four Serie A prediction: Napoli, Inter Milan, Juventus, and Roma in the Champions League!

Serie A Top 4 Odds:

• Napoli -550
• Inter -340
• Juventus -190
• AC Milan -180
• Roma +150
• Atalanta +260
• Bologna +500
• Lazio +500
• Fiorentina +550
• Como +550
• Torino +2300
• Udinese +3100
• Genoa +3600
• Cagliari +5000
• Sassuolo +5000
• Parma +5000
• Lecce +7000
• Verona +10000
• Pisa +10000
• Cremonese +10000

Odds from FanDuel.

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Europa League Qualification Prediction: Which Serie A teams will go to the Europa League?

In addition to the winner of the Coppa Italia, the club that finishes fifth in Serie A at the end of the 2025-2026 season will qualify for the UEFA Europa League (2026-2027 edition).

And in this battle to qualify for the Europa League, the clubs mentioned above, as well as Lazio, could put up a magnificent fight. AC Milan, determined to bounce back after a poor season last year, could, in our opinion, make it into the top five by settling for a place in the C3. The Lombardy club still has a good squad and has welcomed back a former coach, the highly experienced Massimiliano Allegri.

Despite the fierce competition for fifth place, our experts have made their choice regarding the future top 5 in Serie A... Our prediction for Europa League qualification: AC Milan!

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Conference League Qualification Prediction: Which Serie A clubs will qualify for the Conference League?

Finally, the team that finishes 6th (or 7th, depending on who wins the cup) in Serie A this season will participate in the next edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League.

This third European Cup is not taken lightly by Italian clubs, as Roma won the first edition and Fiorentina reached the final in 2023 and 2024, before being knocked out in the semi-finals last year. As you can see, many Italian clubs are keen to participate in this European cup!

Once again, it is very difficult to make a prediction for this third cup... According to our analysis, the top six should once again include some of the historic clubs from the Italian league.

We estimate that Atalanta, following on from its excellent recent seasons, could settle for sixth place this time around. The club is set to undergo a year of transition with the departure of its coach and key players. The battle could well be fierce until the end, particularly with Lazio and Fiorentina. Our prediction for the Conference League: Atalanta Bergamo!

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Relegation Prediction: Which Serie A club will be relegated?

At the bottom of the table, the objectives are very different. The struggle to stay in the top flight often causes many clubs to fall every year.

And this season too, the battle is likely to be fiercely contested in Serie A. In total, three clubs will be relegated (18th, 19th, and 20th) in our Serie B predictions for the 2026-2027 season, and several clubs are in contention. Starting with the promoted teams (Sassuolo, Pisa, and Cremonese), who are likely to be joined by clubs that fought for survival throughout last season: Lecce, Parma, Cagliari, and Hellas Verona.

The sportsbooks are finding it very difficult to make their choice, judging by the odds offered below, which proves that the fight to stay up is likely to be intense right to the end. For our part, we have made our choice. Our Serie A relegation prediction: Pisa, Cremonese, and Lecce will be relegated!

Serie A Relegation Odds:

• Cremonese -130
• Pisa -110
• Verona +135
• Lecce +160
• Sassuolo +200
• Cagliari +230
• Parma +310
• Genoa +370
• Udinese +550
• Torino +700
• Lazio +2700
• Fiorentina +3400
• Como +3400
• Bologna +4100
• Roma +10000
• Juventus +10000
• Atalanta +10000
• AC Milan +10000
• Inter +10000
• Napoli +10000

Odds from FanDuel.

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Serie A Golden Boot Prediction: Who will score the most goals?

There is more at stake in the Italian league than just the teams. In fact, in Serie A there is a hotly contested individual title every season, that of top scorer (capocannoniere). In the new 2025-2026 season, which striker can finish at the top of the Italian league? Here is a list of players to keep an eye on this season:

• Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan)
• Artem Dovbyk (AS Roma)
• Marcus Thuram (Inter Milan)
• Moise Kean (Fiorentina)
• Santiago Giménez (AC Milan)
• Romelu Lukaku (Naples)
• Ciro Immobile (Bologne)
• Dusan Vlahovic (Juventus)

After Mateo Retegui (now playing in Saudi Arabia) won the Serie A top scorer title last year, who will be crowned this year? The battle promises to be intense between all the players mentioned in the list above, but we are placing Moise Kean as our favorite. He was a huge hit last year with 19 goals and has no intention of stopping there.

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Beginner Bettors: How does the Serie A work?

The Italian first division championship has 20 participating teams that play against each other in round-robin matches. The first phase is played between August and December, and all the clubs in this period play each other once. The same occurs between January and May, so that all teams play each other twice (home and away) for a total of 38 matchdays. That is 380 matches per edition of Serie A. Therefore, at the end of the competition, certain positions have a considerable influence on the fate of the club: 

• The team that finishes the tournament in first place is the champion of Italy (and qualifies for the Champions League). 
• The second, third and fourth qualify for the Champions League 
• The fifth (and sixth, depending on the winner of the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Europa League 
• The sixth (or seventh, depending on the winner of the Coppa Italia) qualifies for the Conference League. 
• Eighteenth, nineteenth and twentieth are relegated to Serie B 

Whether at the top or bottom of the table, many teams in the Italian league are fighting for one goal. This explains why predictions for all Serie A matches are eagerly awaited by all bettors.

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How to Make Smart Serie A Predictions?

To make accurate predictions on the next round of Serie A, some free tips from our experts can be useful for bettors, such as having a solid knowledge of the competition. However, this is not enough, and a good practice is equally necessary. The SportyTrader website, specialized in soccer, but also in Serie A for several years, offers its tips on the best way to forecast:

• Check the physical condition of each Italian team
• Analyze Serie A stats
• Heed expert advice
• Take into account what is at stake in Serie A matches
• Check the list of absent players in Italy

These are the minimum elements to more accurately predict each Serie A match and place soccer bets on the three-way moneyline market. In the following sections, we delve into the above elements to play reliable Serie A bets.

Check the physical condition of each Italian team

This is probably the most important advice for making a reliable soccer prediction in the Serie A. Checking and considering the form of all 20 teams should be an automatic and essential step if you want to bet on Serie A. For example, if you want to bet on Napoli but the team hasn’t won in seven matches, while their opponent is on a five-game winning streak, it might be better to avoid making that bet. On the other hand, a double chance bet on the opponent could be the right choice.

However, it’s important to stress that it’s not enough to just check recent results. It’s equally important to look at the statistical data for the teams involved: possession, goals scored and conceded, number of shots taken and received, goals conceded, etc. A team may have dominated their last two opponents but still lost... This, however, doesn’t mean they’re out of form.

At the end of the season, it will also be crucial to know the teams' schedules, especially for those involved in international competitions, as the "knockout" matches often lead coaches to prioritize one competition over another. This can give teams that aren’t favorites a better chance of winning due to the opponent’s fatigue or lineup rotation.

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Analyze Serie A stats

Our second piece of advice: analyze the Serie A statistics! What's important is to get a general idea of the numbers from the very beginning. Below on this page, you can access the best statistics for Serie A matches, especially in terms of goals scored (Under/Over). This information can be useful for placing certain types of bets.

Secondly, having access to the statistics of each team’s most recent matches in Italy’s top division is equally important for making solid betting predictions. By reviewing the most up-to-date stats, you'll also get a sense of each club's current form.

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Check what the experts are saying

Here’s a key piece of advice for success when betting on the best sportsbooks​​​​​​, even those offering no-deposit betting bonuses. In fact, before placing a bet on Italy's top soccer league, relying on expert predictions will help you make your own forecasts, reinforcing your personal analysis.

The experts at SportyTrader take multiple aspects of a match into account and evaluate a large number of statistics from previous and upcoming games in order to offer the best and most reliable predictions. Especially for those who enjoy combo betting, following our experts' advice for moneyline bets can be a great resource.

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Take into account what is at stake in Serie A matches

For this fourth tip, there won’t be any statistical analysis, but rather the context in which both teams will play the match. Is it a notoriously heated derby like the one in Lombardy or the capital? Were there any issues in the last match? These are very important aspects that are often overlooked by many bettors.

For example, you’ll notice that in recent direct encounters between Roma and Lazio, the tension tends to take over the game, limiting the number of goals scored. The Over 2.5 bet might not be the best choice in this case.

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Check the list of absent players in Italy

And finally, the last piece of advice is obviously very important. Although soccer is played 11 against 11, it’s well known that there are certain players who are indispensable. These players are difficult to replace when they’re unavailable, especially in teams that don’t have deep or well-balanced squads.

Before placing any bet, it’s essential to check the list of players called up for the teams involved in the match you want to bet on, in order to identify any key absences. Looking at the likely starting lineups can help you decide what kind of bet to make: an absence among the home team could even lead you to favor the away team (sign 2), as the odds for the home team (sign 1) might rise, while a draw could be a safer option.

Injuries, suspensions, loss of form, off-field issues, disagreements... there can be many reasons why a player might not be available for a match. All of this should be checked before placing any bets with online sports betting operators.

Of course, our team of experts takes all these factors into account before publishing any Serie A match predictions.

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Mistakes to Avoid When Betting on the Serie A

Among the best tips for making smart bets on Serie A matches are also those that highlight things you should avoid. In fact, certain bad habits should definitely be avoided. Below, you’ll find everything that’s not recommended before making a Serie A prediction:

• Not analyzing a soccer match (in this case, Serie A)
• Betting only on high odds
• Not comparing odds available in the market and betting on lower odds
• Betting on Serie A without understanding it well
• Trying to recover a lost bet in Serie A at all costs
• Betting too frequently on live odds or high odds
• Betting too often on your favorite team

Still, too many novice and experienced bettors are often influenced by these bad habits. So, make sure to leave them behind before betting on Serie A!

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Key Statistics You Should Know About Serie A

On top of everything we just went over, having a solid grasp of the key Serie A stats is another major factor in making successful soccer picks.

So, without further delay, here are the most important numbers to keep in mind for betting on Italy’s top flight, based on the most recent season (2024–25):

• Home wins: 40%
• Draws: 28%
• Away wins: 32%
• Average goals per match: 2.56
• Over 0.5 goals: 93%
• Under 0.5 goals: 7%
• Over 1.5 goals: 74%
• Under 1.5 goals: 26%
• Over 2.5 goals: 48%
• Under 2.5 goals: 52%
• Over 3.5 goals: 26%
• Under 3.5 goals: 74%
• Over 4.5 goals: 12%
• Under 4.5 goals: 88%
• Most goals scored: 76th–90th minute (21%)
• Goals in first half: 44%
• Goals in second half: 56%
• Average goals for home teams: 1.34
• Average goals for away teams: 1.22
• “Both teams to score – Yes”: 52%
• Average shots per match: 22.81
• Wins by 2+ goals (handicap): 30.2% of matches
• Exact score 0-0: 7.4% of matches
• Exact score 1-1: 13.9% of matches
• Most common scoreline: 1-0 or 0-1 (18.7% of matches)

Looking at these numbers, certain betting angles clearly stand out. For example, the home win rate in Serie A is relatively low compared to other leagues, so “Draw or Away” on the double chance can often be worth a look. The league is very balanced overall, and home field isn’t the huge advantage it tends to be elsewhere. In fact, the stats suggest away wins can offer solid value.

It’s also worth noting that a 1-0 scoreline shows up in nearly one out of every five matches. That makes exact-score betting on 1-0 one of the more appealing options, with odds that are usually very rewarding. And if you’re chasing goals, the last 15 minutes and the second half in general are prime spots, far more productive than the opening 45 minutes.

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In Short: How to get your predictions right in Serie A?

To make reliable soccer predictions about Italy’s Serie A, there are several things you need to consider and put into practice. For example, it’s important to analyze each match, but you also need to follow all the best practices we've discussed, as well as have a solid understanding of how the competition works and the key statistics.

If you think doing all this will take too much time before each Serie A prediction, remember that all you need to do is consult the predictions from our Serie A and Italian soccer experts, which are available before each match.

As a reminder, we offer a detailed analysis of all 380 matches in the Italian league, completely free and accessible at the top of this page. Find all Serie A predictions on Sportytrader, your ideal guide throughout the year!

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Our Current Free Serie A Predictions

Serie A: Best Odds

Odds are not yet available for this competition.