Italy vs Slovenia Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket
Europe - EuroBasket
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by Paul Tamayo | in EuroBasket Picks
Italy takes on Slovenia for a EuroBasket 2025 Round of 16 matchup on Sunday, September 7, at the Arena Riga in Latvia.
Italy finished the group phase with four wins in five games. On the other hand, Slovenia booked a ticket to the knockout stages with a 3-2 record.
Their last matchup was during the 2023 FIBA World Cup, when Slovenia held on to an 89-85 win over Italy.
The Slovenians are also fresh off a 106-96 win over Israel. They led by 13 points at halftime, establishing a safe cushion the entire game. Slovenia's offense clicked, with the team shooting 54.4% from the field.
Luka Doncic showed out yet again, putting up 37 points on an efficient 57.1% shooting. The Los Angeles Lakers superstar also added 11 rebounds, 9 assists, and 3 steals to his tally.
Meanwhile, the Italians are coming off a convincing 89-54 win over Cyprus. They held Cyprus to only six points in the first quarter, setting the tone for the rest of the game.
Simone Fontecchio and Matteo Spagnolo topscored for Italy with 13 points apiece, while Danilo Gallinari and Mouhamet Diouf both contributed 12 markers.
Italy can capitalize on their roster depth, but how do they plan to contain Luka?
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Italy vs Slovenia Form
Italy and Slovenia Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 19, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Aug 30, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 15, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Italy against Slovenia : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Sep 9, 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Players list
M. Spagnolo
A. Pajola
M. Diouf
N. Melli
S. Fontecchio
A. Nikolic
E. Muric
M. Krampelj
G. Hrovat
Substitutes
M. Spissu
D. Thompson
D. Gallinari
G. Ricci
G. Procida
S. Niang
N. Akele
L. Stergar
R. Radovic
K. Prepelic
M. Padjen
L. Scuka
R. Jurkovic
Italy - Slovenia Key Points
- Slovenia is coming off a 106-96 win over Israel.
- Italy is coming off an 89-54 win over Cyprus.
- Slovenia finished the group stages with a 3-2 record.
- Italy finished the group stages with a 4-1 record.
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Our Italy vs Slovenia Prediction
Italy finished the group phase with a 4-1 record, flexing their roster depth and chemistry. They still want star player Simone Fontecchio to be more consistent, especially against Slovenia.
Luka Doncic currently leads the tournament with 32.4 points, while also ranking second in assists (8.4). It will take a whole lot from the Italians to contain Luka, especially if the Slovenian supporting cast puts in a great game. Our prediction for the Italy vs Slovenia match is: Slovenia (+4.5) cover the spread.All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
