Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open
ATP - ATP Italian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Italian Open Picks
A $120 wager on Jannik Sinner to cover -5.5 games might be the quickest way to win a $100 profit all of sports this Friday and that’s not even an understatement.
Jannik Sinner moved two wins away from adding another ATP 1000 title and his first crown on the red dirt of Rome. Powered by four breakpoint conversions, the world’s No.1 breezed through to another straight-set victory over Andrey Rublev 6-2, 6-4.
Sinner has now extended his winning streak to 27 matches following the win over Rublev. He also broke Novak Djokovic’s ATP Masters 1000 win streak record by claiming his 32nd consecutive win at this level.
Because of his record-breaking feat and impeccable form, Sinner will roll into the semifinals with a -5.5-game handicap (-120) and an absurd -1600 price on the moneyline against another former world No.1.
Daniil Medvedev will make his first semifinal appearance in Rome since winning the tournament in 2023. The Russian booked his ticket to the final four with a hard-earned win over Martin Landaluce 6-1, 4-6, 5-7.
Despite his Medvedev has silently compiled a 6-2 record on clay this year and will get an opportunity to earn his first clay-court final in three years if he can take down arguably the best tennis player in the world right now.
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Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
May 14, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 11, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 3, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
May 1, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 14, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 11, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jannik Sinner against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Mar 15, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Nov 14, 2024 - ATP Finals
Oct 10, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 4, 2024 - ATP US Open
Jul 9, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Mar 29, 2024 - ATP Miami
Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev is 6-2 on clay in 2026.
- Daniil Medvedev has saved 9 of 14 breakpoints at the 2026 Rome Masters
- Jannik Sinner is 9-1 vs. Daniil Medvedev.
- Jannik Sinner has saved 4 of 5 breakpoints at the 2026 Rome Masters.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Jannik Sinner stays immaculate in Italy.
Barring a major meltdown, Sinner will inevitably advance to another ATP 1000 final. The Italian has come out on top in the last five meetings with Medvedev and swept the Russian in the last four head-to-heads.
Although their semifinal match will mark their first match on clay, the odds devastatingly favor Sinner because of his sheer dominance during this year’s clay-court swing. On the other hand, Medvedev needed to survive two three-set matches to reach this stage of the tournament.
Our betting prediction for Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev: Jannik Sinner -5.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
