Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Picks - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
Another of Friday's eye-catching matches at the WTA event in the Spanish capital of Madrid is the one between Simona Waltert and Jelena Ostapenko. Despite being ranked below her opponent, Waltert could get seriously competitive here. For starters, the Swiss player has already played three matches in Madrid, and having won each of those three in straight sets, she's clearly enjoying the conditions.
Waltert is a strong clay-courter in general, so much so that she looks a little generously priced ahead of a match against an incosistent player, a player who has not yet played in Madrid, a player who comes here off the back of consecutive clay-court losses. To be honest, we shouldn't be too shocked if Waltert wins this, so betting on with a three-game headstart at odds of -125 looks like a serious value play.
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Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko Form
Simona Waltert and Jelena Ostapenko Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 22, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 20, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Mar 17, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 1, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 6, 2026 - WTA Doha
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 15, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 10, 2026 - WTA Linz
Apr 8, 2026 - WTA Linz
Mar 23, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 22, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Simona Waltert - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points
- Jelena Ostapenko has not yet played in Madrid and may not be as prepared as her opponent.
- Jelena Ostapenko lost her most recent clay-court match against a lower-ranked player.
- Simona Waltert has already played three matches in Madrid and should be more up to speed with the conditions.
- Jelena Ostapenko went out at the first time of asking at this tournament a year ago.
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Our Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction
This really does look like a better opportunity for the thriving Simona Waltert to seriously push Jelena Ostapenko than the early betting suggests, so the Swiss player is definitely worth betting on to cover the '+3.5 Game Handicap'. Even if she does lose this, expect her to go down fighting, and let's be honest, she could easily beat Ostapenko, who has clearly not been at her best since the switch to clay.
The Latvian player has lost two of her three clay-court matches since leaving the outdoor hard-court season behind, whereas Waltert is thriving at present.
Our Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenko Pick: Simona Waltert +3.5 Game Handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
