Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Sevilla
3/8/26 13:30
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-148
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 by Erik Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano renew their rivalry at Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium on Sunday in a La Liga fixture that could have major implications for both clubs' ambitions in the second half of the season. Sevilla, a storied club still rebuilding from a difficult recent period, are trying to stabilize their mid-table standing. Rayo Vallecano, the vibrant and tenacious outfit from Vallecas, arrive in confident form and eager to continue applying pressure to the sides above them in the table.

Rayo enter this fixture with genuine momentum. They were in brilliant form heading into the week, recording a commanding 3-0 home win over Real Oviedo on March 4, which followed an earlier 1-1 draw with Athletic Bilbao on the road. Rayo have been one of La Liga's more consistent second-tier sides in recent months, pressing high, defending compactly, and making life difficult for any opponent.

Sevilla's recent form is more mixed. They drew 2-2 in the heated local derby against Real Betis on March 1, a result that felt like progress in some ways but also reflected lingering defensive vulnerabilities. Before that, their results have oscillated, and the club remains in a precarious section of the standings with question marks still surrounding consistency.

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Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Rayo Vallecano
50 38 12 14 12 -3
13 Sevilla
43 38 12 7 19 -14

Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla Latest matches
W L D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Sevilla

Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Sevilla

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Girona

Feb 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
4 :  1
Sevilla

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
W L L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Girona

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  3
Levante

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
4 :  0
Real Oviedo
L L D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Sevilla

Feb 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Sevilla

Feb 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
4 :  1
Sevilla

Jan 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Sevilla

Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Sevilla

Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
1 :  0
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
L L W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna
D W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Real Oviedo

Feb 28, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Feb 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  3
Osasuna

Jan 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Mallorca

Jan 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Getafe
L W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Alavés
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 6, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Granada
1 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)

Sevilla

50 %

Draw

50 %

Rayo Vallecano

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Sevilla

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

Nov 24, 2024 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 5, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  2
Sevilla

Oct 7, 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 19, 2023 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

Sevilla against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11

Sevilla

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
O. Vlachodimos
3
C. Azpilicueta
5
T. Nianzou
6
N. Gudelj
4
K. Salas
16
Juanlu
18
L. Agoume
20
D. Sow
36
Oso
9
A. Adams
10
A. Sanchez
19
J. De Frutos
21
F. Perez
7
I. Palazon
14
C. Martin
15
G. Gumbau
23
O. Valentin
22
A. Espino
32
N. Mendy
24
F. Lejeune
2
A. Ratiu
13
A. Batalla

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

Substitutes

Sevilla
Sevilla
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

Defender

F. Gattoni

J. Carmona

C. Azpilicueta 58'

F. Cardoso

A. Gallo Lopez

Midfielder

B. Mendy

D. Sow 84'

M. Bueno

J. Jordan

A. Januzaj

Forward

M. Sierra

C. Ejuke

A. Sanchez 68'

I. Romero

A. Adams 68'

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

D. Cardenas

Defender

L. Felipe

P. Chavarria

I. Balliu

Midfielder

P. Díaz

I. Palazon 86'

U. Lopez

C. Martin 67'

A. Garcia

G. Gumbau 67'

Forward

S. Camello

Alemao

F. Perez 86'

R. Nteka

I. Akhomach

J. De Frutos 58'

O. Trejo

Missing players

Sevilla
Sevilla
Defender

G. Suazo

Marcao

Forward

R. Vargas

Peque

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Midfielder

P. Ciss

D. Mendez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sevilla
CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria A. Adams (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (10 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland R. Vargas (6 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (5 Assists)

Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. The Over is 2-2-1 in Sevilla's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 2-3 in Rayo Vallecano's last 5 games
  3. Sevilla are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Rayo Vallecano are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Rayo have benefited from a cohesive collective rather than one standout name, though their attacking transitions have been sharp and their defensive discipline impressive in limiting Oviedo to a shutout.

Sevilla have leaned on the physicality and technical quality of their midfield core to find a foothold in matches, but injury concerns and limited squad depth have at times left them exposed. Neither club has a headline-grabbing absences list at the time of writing, though Sevilla's injury situation bears watching ahead of kick-off.

This match is projected to be genuinely competitive, with Sevilla favored on home advantage. The closeness of those figures reflects the genuine uncertainty here — Rayo's current form may well offset Sevilla's home advantage. Value bettors may find appeal in the draw or even a Rayo upset given the visitors' confidence and recent results. Our prediction for Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5

-148
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