Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction & Picks - NHL
USA - NHL
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by Bill Christy | in NHL Picks
The San Jose Sharks (24-20-3) are facing off with the Florida Panthers on Monday evening before they head to Tampa Bay to complete their 4-game road trip with a game against the Lightning (30-13-4). These teams faced off earlier this month and the Lightning thumped the Sharks 7-3. Both Alex Nedeljkovic and Yaroslav Askarov had rough outings in the net for the Sharks in that previous meeting; they combined to allow 7 goals and saved just 19 of 26 shots. Darren Raddysh picked up a hat trick while Nikita Kucherov added a goal of his own to go with his 4 assists.
The Lightning are currently sitting at the top of the Atlantic Division and the entire Eastern Conference. Their play during the new year has played a large part in their position in the standings. The Lightning have won 7 of their 8 games to this point in 2026 and are coming off a strong 4-1 win over Dallas on Sunday. During their current 8-game stretch, the Lightning have been outscoring opponents by an average of 2.5 goals per game.
The Sharks have not had as successful a start in 2026 as the Lightning, but they are currently a game over .500 this year before heading into their matchup with Florida on Monday evening. In all their wins to this point in 2026 have come when they scored more than 3 goals. In all 3 losses, they were held to 3 or fewer and have allowed a total of 18 goals in those 3 losses. When they win, it is typically high scoring; when it is a loss, their lamp is lit at a staggering rate.
If San Jose plans on being successful against the visiting Lightning, they will need to be stronger on the defensive end of the ice and not allow anything close to the 7 goals they allowed in their previous matchup. That will not be a simple task as the Lightning are currently 5th in the league in goals scored per game.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
64 | 1577 | 24 | 13 | +46 |
|
19
|
53 | 2853 | 14 | 20 | -17 |
Tampa Bay Lightning and San Jose Sharks Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 18, 2026 - NHL
Jan 16, 2026 - NHL
Jan 13, 2026 - NHL
Jan 12, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
Jan 6, 2026 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 6, 2026 - NHL
Dec 28, 2025 - NHL
Dec 22, 2025 - NHL
Dec 20, 2025 - NHL
Dec 18, 2025 - NHL
Dec 15, 2025 - NHL
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 18, 2026 - NHL
Jan 16, 2026 - NHL
Jan 13, 2026 - NHL
Jan 12, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
Jan 3, 2026 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 16, 2026 - NHL
Jan 15, 2026 - NHL
Jan 11, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
Jan 7, 2026 - NHL
Jan 6, 2026 - NHL
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 11, 2026 - NHL
Jan 10, 2026 - NHL
Jan 6, 2026 - NHL
Jan 3, 2026 - NHL
Dec 31, 2025 - NHL
Dec 20, 2025 - NHL
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 16, 2026 - NHL
Jan 15, 2026 - NHL
Jan 7, 2026 - NHL
Dec 29, 2025 - NHL
Dec 27, 2025 - NHL
Dec 23, 2025 - NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning against San Jose Sharks : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jan 3, 2026 - NHL
Feb 7, 2023 - NHL
Feb 1, 2022 - NHL
Players list
J. Johansson
A. Vasilevskiy
DefenderE. Cernak
C. D'Astous
M. Crozier
J. Moser
D. Raddysh
D. Carlile
ForwardN. Paul
A. Cirelli
O. Bjorkstrand
Y. Gourde
Z. Girgensons
J. Guentzel
B. Hagel
D. James
G. Goncalves
J. Finley
P. Holmberg
N. Kucherov
A. Nedeljkovic
Y. Askarov
DefenderD. Orlov
M. Ferraro
T. Liljegren
J. Klingberg
N. Leddy
S. Dickinson
ForwardM. Misa
B. Goodrow
A. Wennberg
T. Toffoli
A. Gaudette
M. Celebrini
I. Chernyshov
W. Smith
C. Graf
Z. Ostapchuk
W. Eklund
P. Regenda
Most goals and assists
Tampa Bay Lightning
San Jose Sharks
M. Celebrini
(24 Goals)
M. Celebrini
(48 Assists)
Tampa Bay Lightning - San Jose Sharks Key Points
- Tampa Bay is 12-1 SU in their last 13 games.
- Tampa Bay is 4-0 SU in their last 4 home games.
- San Jose is 17-43 SU in its last 60 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Division.
- San Jose is 28-85 SU in its last 113 games on the road.
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Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks Prediction
Even if these teams were playing each other with the same amount of rest, we would still back the Lightning. Now, factoring in that the Sharks are playing the night before and will be finishing up a grueling 4-game road trip, our confidence in the Lightning is much higher. We would even play the puck line at -1.5 for a smaller price as well. We do not believe the Sharks will be able to slow down this aggressive Lightning attack and are likely to head home with another loss.
Our prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs San Jose Sharks: Tampa Bay to win
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