Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
10/8/25 20:00
Las Vegas Aces

Prediction:

 

Aces (+3.5) cover the spread

-104
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces visit the Phoenix Mercury for Game 3 of the 2025 WNBA Finals on Wednesday, October 8, at the Mortgage Matchup Center. 

The Aces hold a commanding 2-0 advantage against the Mercury. Behind their two superstars, the Aces hacked out a 91-78 victory in Game 2. They actually trailed after the opening period, but then went on a 22-10 run in the second quarter and never looked back. 

Jackie Young led all scorers with a 32-point performance that was built on an efficient 60% shooting from the field. Reigning MVP A'ja Wilson hauled in a double-double of 28 points and 14 rebounds. Las Vegas almost made half of their field goal attempts (49.3%), a testament to their strong offense.

On the other end, Kahleah Cooper topscored for the Mercury with her 23 markers, while Satou Sabally filled up with 22 points and 9 boards. However, Sabally struggled mightily, making just seven of her 19 attempts, including a 2-of-9 clip from the three-point line.

The Aces can sweep their way to lifting the championship trophy, but they have to do it on the road. The Mercury aren't exactly great on their home arena (15-7 during the regular season), so there's a good chance that the Aces can do it.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Form

Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  81
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
79 :  73
New York Liberty

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  76
New York Liberty

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  88
L.a. Sparks
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
60 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
97 :  76
Phoenix Mercury
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
107 :  98
Indiana Fever

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
90 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
72 :  84
Las Vegas Aces
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
107 :  98
Indiana Fever

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
90 :  68
Indiana Fever

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
73 :  89
Indiana Fever

Sep 18, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
74 :  73
Seattle Storm
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
90 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
72 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 16, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
86 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
75 :  103
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
75 :  81
Las Vegas Aces

Phoenix Mercury against Las Vegas Aces : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

0 %

Las Vegas Aces

100 %

Oct 8, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
91 :  78
Phoenix Mercury

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
89 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  61
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
81 :  84
Las Vegas Aces

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack Goalkeeper

M. Akoa-Makani

Forward

S. Sabally

K. Copper

A. Thomas

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
A. Wilson Goalkeeper

C. Gray

J. Young

Forward

N. Smith

K. Bell

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Brown Goalkeeper

K. Williams

D. Bonner

L. Held

S. Whitcomb

K. Laksa

Forward

K. Westbeld

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
M. Gustafson K. Stokes Goalkeeper

D. Evans

A. Nye

J. Loyd

Forward

C. Parker

Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces Key Points

  1. The Aces won Game 2, 91-78.
  2. The Aces shot an efficient 49.3% clip from the field in Game 2.
  3. The Mercury have a 15-7 record at home during the regular season.
  4. The Aces have a 13-9 record on the road during the regular season.

Our Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction

After Game 1, we thought that this series will go through tightly-fought games throughout. But in Game 2, the Aces dominated with their efficient offense while also forcing the Mercury to struggle with their shots.

Jackie Young and A'ja Wilson were nothing short of unstoppable in Game 2, so how will the Mercury defense stop them? The series is far from over, but the Mercury know they have to go through the mud to get a win. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces is: Aces (+3.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Aces (+3.5) cover the spread

-104
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Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Picks