Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
10/8/25 20:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Aces (+3.5) cover the spread

-104
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces visit the Phoenix Mercury for Game 3 of the 2025 WNBA Finals on Wednesday, October 8, at the Mortgage Matchup Center. 

The Aces hold a commanding 2-0 advantage against the Mercury. Behind their two superstars, the Aces hacked out a 91-78 victory in Game 2. They actually trailed after the opening period, but then went on a 22-10 run in the second quarter and never looked back. 

Jackie Young led all scorers with a 32-point performance that was built on an efficient 60% shooting from the field. Reigning MVP A'ja Wilson hauled in a double-double of 28 points and 14 rebounds. Las Vegas almost made half of their field goal attempts (49.3%), a testament to their strong offense.

On the other end, Kahleah Cooper topscored for the Mercury with her 23 markers, while Satou Sabally filled up with 22 points and 9 boards. However, Sabally struggled mightily, making just seven of her 19 attempts, including a 2-of-9 clip from the three-point line.

The Aces can sweep their way to lifting the championship trophy, but they have to do it on the road. The Mercury aren't exactly great on their home arena (15-7 during the regular season), so there's a good chance that the Aces can do it.

Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  91
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  89
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
98 :  107
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  90
Indiana Fever

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  72
Indiana Fever

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
68 :  90
Las Vegas Aces
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  91
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  89
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
98 :  107
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
68 :  90
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
89 :  73
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 18, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
73 :  74
Las Vegas Aces
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  90
Indiana Fever

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  72
Indiana Fever

Sep 16, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  86
Seattle Storm

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
103 :  75
L.a. Sparks

Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
81 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
79 :  74
Chicago Sky
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  91
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  89
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
81 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
73 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
88 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  91
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  89
Las Vegas Aces

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  60
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  97
Dallas Wings

Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Las Vegas Aces

83 %

Phoenix Mercury

17 %

Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  91
Las Vegas Aces

Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  89
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
86 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
84 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Aces won Game 2, 91-78.
  2. The Aces shot an efficient 49.3% clip from the field in Game 2.
  3. The Mercury have a 15-7 record at home during the regular season.
  4. The Aces have a 13-9 record on the road during the regular season.

Our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

After Game 1, we thought that this series will go through tightly-fought games throughout. But in Game 2, the Aces dominated with their efficient offense while also forcing the Mercury to struggle with their shots.

Jackie Young and A'ja Wilson were nothing short of unstoppable in Game 2, so how will the Mercury defense stop them? The series is far from over, but the Mercury know they have to go through the mud to get a win. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces is: Aces (+3.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Aces (+3.5) cover the spread

-104
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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Picks