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by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks
The Las Vegas Aces visit the Phoenix Mercury for Game 3 of the 2025 WNBA Finals on Wednesday, October 8, at the Mortgage Matchup Center.
The Aces hold a commanding 2-0 advantage against the Mercury. Behind their two superstars, the Aces hacked out a 91-78 victory in Game 2. They actually trailed after the opening period, but then went on a 22-10 run in the second quarter and never looked back.
Jackie Young led all scorers with a 32-point performance that was built on an efficient 60% shooting from the field. Reigning MVP A'ja Wilson hauled in a double-double of 28 points and 14 rebounds. Las Vegas almost made half of their field goal attempts (49.3%), a testament to their strong offense.
On the other end, Kahleah Cooper topscored for the Mercury with her 23 markers, while Satou Sabally filled up with 22 points and 9 boards. However, Sabally struggled mightily, making just seven of her 19 attempts, including a 2-of-9 clip from the three-point line.
The Aces can sweep their way to lifting the championship trophy, but they have to do it on the road. The Mercury aren't exactly great on their home arena (15-7 during the regular season), so there's a good chance that the Aces can do it.
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Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 30, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 18, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 16, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 27, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 25, 2025 - WNBA

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 28, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Oct 5, 2025 - WNBA
Oct 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- The Aces won Game 2, 91-78.
- The Aces shot an efficient 49.3% clip from the field in Game 2.
- The Mercury have a 15-7 record at home during the regular season.
- The Aces have a 13-9 record on the road during the regular season.
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Our Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
After Game 1, we thought that this series will go through tightly-fought games throughout. But in Game 2, the Aces dominated with their efficient offense while also forcing the Mercury to struggle with their shots.
Jackie Young and A'ja Wilson were nothing short of unstoppable in Game 2, so how will the Mercury defense stop them? The series is far from over, but the Mercury know they have to go through the mud to get a win. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces is: Aces (+3.5) cover the spread.Grab an extra $300 for your Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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