Roma vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Roma
5/18/25 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-144
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 by Carlos Zabala in Serie A Picks

After a poor start, following two managers before Claudio Ranieri's arrival, Roma still have a chance to fight for a spot in next season's Champions League with two games remaining. To do so, they'll need to win their next match against Milan at the Stadio Olimpico, win the final match against Torino, and wait to see what happens with Lazio and Juventus, both with one point more than Roma after 36 matches.

Roma can't afford to be lacking confidence after the 2-1 defeat to Atalanta for this vitally important game against Milan. Before that, in Serie A, they had a 14-match unbeaten run in the Italian league, but their poor recent record against Milan suggests that a defeat is also possible.

If we're talking disappointment, Milan will bring an even bigger one to Rome after losing the final against Bologna. They had just beaten Bologna at San Siro in the last match of Serie A but were unable to breach the rock-solid defense in the Coppa Italia final, and they will be playing in that same stadium four days after losing the final.

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Roma vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Roma
Roma
63 36 18 9 9 17
8
AC Milan
AC Milan
60 36 17 9 10 18

Roma and AC Milan Latest Matches

Roma
Roma Latest matches
D D W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

May 12, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

May 4, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

Apr 19, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

Apr 13, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Roma

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 19, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari

Mar 6, 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Como 1907
W L W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 12, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Roma

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

Apr 13, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Roma

Mar 29, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

Mar 13, 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Roma

Mar 9, 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Roma
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 14, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  0
AC Milan

May 9, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

May 5, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta
L W D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 9, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 15, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Como 1907

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 14, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  0
AC Milan

May 5, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

Apr 11, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  4
AC Milan

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
AC Milan

Roma against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

50 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Feb 5, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma

Dec 29, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

May 31, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
5 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 18, 2024 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
AC Milan

Apr 11, 2024 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  1
Roma

Jan 14, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma

AC Milan v Roma last Lineups

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

99
M. Svilar
2
D. Rensch
23
G. Mancini
5
E. N Dicka
19
Z. Celik
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
3
Angelino
18
M. Soule
14
E. Shomurodov
11
A. Dovbyk
9
L. Jovic
10
R. Leao
11
C. Pulisic
19
T. Hernandez
14
T. Reijnders
29
Y. Fofana
20
A. Jimenez
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

AC Milan

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Midfielder

L. Pellegrini

Forward

P. Dybala

AC Milan
AC Milan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (15 Goals)
Best assists
Uzbekistan E. Shomurodov (4 Assists)
Argentina P. Dybala (4 Assists)
Best assists
USA C. Pulisic (10 Assists)

Roma and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Roma
Roma
AC Milan
AC Milan
50%
Victories
47%
25%
Draw
25%
25%
Defeats
28%
2.36
Total goals per match
2.72
1.42
Goals scored per match
1.61
0.94
Goals conceded per match
1.11
39%
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
47%
BTTS
58%
42%
No goals conceded
33%

Roma - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Roma and Milan drew 1-1 on Matchday 18
  2. Both teams have scored in both matches in the last four matches between Roma and Milan
  3. Dovybyk leads Roma in goals this season with 12
  4. Atalanta generated an xG of 2.40 against Roma in their last match
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Our Roma vs AC Milan Prediction

Milan will miss out on qualifying for the Europa League next season via the Coppa Italia. They still have a slim hope of reaching European football, which depends on beating Roma on Sunday. Roma's hopes could also fall short even with a draw on Sunday. Both teams need three points, which could be why it will be a game with multiple goalscoring opportunities. Roma did not defend well in their last match against Atlanta. Our prediction for Roma vs AC Milan is: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-144
$200 offered for betting!

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Roma vs AC Milan Picks
Up to $200 to bet on Roma - AC Milan! 

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