Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction & Picks - ATP Acapulco Open

ATP - ATP Acapulco Open

ATP 106 Australia
Rinky Hijikata
2/24/26 20:50
ATP 78 Italy
Mattia Bellucci

Prediction:

 

Mattia Bellucci to Win

+100
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Late on Tuesday evening, things continue at the ATP event in Acapulco, Mexico, where there's an interesting clash between Rinky Hijikata and Mattia Bellucci. This is very much a match between two closely ranked opponents, though there may be a little more between the pair (in the favor of the Italian) than the rankings suggest. Rinky Hijikata has only really beaten lower-ranked players in 2026, while he arrives here off the back of a displeasing straight-set defeat last time out. 

Bellucci also lost in straight sets last time out, but he did so to a better player, while he can also be forgiven for losing to Brandon Nakashima, who is ranked much higher than Hijikata. Clearly, this is a more realistic task for Bellucci, who is no stranger at all to beating lower-ranked opponents, so do not be surprised if he thrives here. 

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Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci Form

Rinky Hijikata and Mattia Bellucci Latest Matches

Rinky Hijikata Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 22, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rinky Hijikata
0 :  2
Yibing Wu

Feb 21, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open

Rinky Hijikata
2 :  0
Alan Magadan

Feb 16, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Rinky Hijikata
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Dalibor Svrcina
0 :  2
Rinky Hijikata

Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Michael Mmoh
1 :  2
Rinky Hijikata

Feb 7, 2026 - Davis Cup

Alvaro Guillen Meza
2 :  1
Rinky Hijikata
Mattia Bellucci Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

Feb 9, 2026 - Dallas Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Casper Ruud

Jan 10, 2026 - ASB Classic

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  2
Hamad Medjedovic

Jan 9, 2026 - ASB Classic

Mattia Bellucci
2 :  0
Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Jan 2, 2026 - Brisbane International

Pablo Carreño-Busta
2 :  1
Mattia Bellucci

Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci Key Points

  1. Rinky Hijikata arrives here having lost to a lower-ranked player last time out.
  2. Mattia Bellucci has not lost to a lower-ranked player since June of last year.
  3. Mattia Bellucci won in straight sets when the players last met.
  4. Rinky Hijikata has only beaten lower-ranked players recently.
Up to $200 to bet on Rinky Hijikata - Mattia Bellucci! 

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Our Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci Prediction

This could quite easily be a tight match, as the rankings would suggest, though for my money, Mattia Bellucci isn't quite getting the respect that he deserves, so much so that he goes down as a value bet at odds of +100. At the time of writing, Hijikata is the -125 favorite, but I'd have things the other way round, and here's why: 

For starters, when the pair last met on a hard court, Bellucci won in straight sets. It is also the Italian who has achieved more recently. He had tough matches against both Nakashima and Kecmanovic, and I don't think the market is considering that enough. This is certainly less demanding. Moreover, Hijikata lost to a lower-ranked player last time out, which is not somethingt that Bellucci has done since June of last year. That fact is too important to ignore. 

Our Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci Pick: Mattia Bellucci to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Mattia Bellucci to Win

+100
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rinky Hijikata vs Mattia Bellucci Picks