Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Miami Picks
A potential three-set match is in the offing as serve bot Reilly Opelka battles another big-serving American in Taylor Fritz in the third round of the 2026 Miami Open.
Current Form:
Reilly Opelka will lock horns with No.6 seed Taylor Fritz for a spot in the fourth round of the 2026 Miami Open.
Opelka has won 3 of his last 4 matches, including a straight-set stunner of former top-10 Jack Draper 7-6, 7-6. Opelka, who fired 25 aces in the match, is averaging 26 aces in Miami and 25.4 aces per match in the season.
11-7 on the season, Fritz survived a three-set tussle with Botic Van de Zandschulp 3-6, 6-7, 3-6 in the second round of the 2026 Miami Open. Fritz dominated the Dutch with his serves, winning 83 percent of his first serves and drilling 18 aces. In the season, the American is winning almost 80 percent of his first serves and averaging 16.9 aces per match, but only converting 29 percent of breakpoint chances.
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Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritz Form
Reilly Opelka and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 19, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 4, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 20, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 19, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 15, 2026 - Dallas Open
Reilly Opelka against Taylor Fritz : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jul 30, 2021 - ATP Atlanta Open
Reilly Opelka - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Taylor Fritz is 7-1 in 8 head-to-head matches with Reilly Opelka.
- Reilly Opelka is averaging 26 aces per match at the 2026 Miami Open.
- Taylor Fritz is converting 29 percent of breakpoints this year.
- Taylor Fritz survived Botic Van de Zandshculp in a three-setter in the second round of the 2026 Miami Open.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Taylor Fritz is 7-1 in 8 head-to-head matches with Reilly Opelka, but their last two meetings, which were way back in 2021, needed a decider to determine the win.
Fritz remains a strong bet at +205 moneyline. However, Opelka’s current form could really push Fritz to the absolute limit in their first meeting in five years.
Keep in mind, Opelka just defeated a former top-10 player in Jack Draper by simply dominating the Brit with his serves. Fritz is only converting 29 percent of breakpoint chances this year. In short, he’s not a threat of breaking Opelka multiple times in this match, paving the road for a potential marathon match between the two proud, hard-hitting Americans.
Our betting prediction for Reilly Opelka vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Over 26.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
