ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Reilly Opelka of the United States takes on Benjamin Bonzi of France in the first round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters on Thursday.
Opelka is a -128 favorite despite losing his last three matches. On the other hand, the 47th ranked Bonzi emerges as a more attractive moneyline option at +106.
Current Form:
Opelka has lost his last three matches, bowing to Francisco Comesana 7-6, 6-4, 5-7 in the third round of the 2025 Cincinnati Masters, Carlos Alcaraz 4-6, 5-7, 4-6 in the first round of the 2025 US Open and Casper Ruud 4-6, 6-7 at the Laver Cup. Opelka is 14-10 on the hard court in 2025 but he’s only 7-12 against the ATP top-50 on the year.
Bonzi has had better results than Opelka in the past several weeks. The Frenchman has gone 5-3 in his last eight matches, reaching the fourth round of the 2025 Cincinnati Masters and the third round of the 2025 US Open. He lost to Fabian Marozsan in the first round of the 2025 China Open, but he played competitive in this match, losing to the Hungarian 6-7, 3-6.
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Reilly Opelka vs Benjamin Bonzi Form
Reilly Opelka and Benjamin Bonzi Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 19, 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
Aug 25, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 12, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 8, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 31, 2025 - ATP Toronto
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 25, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Reilly Opelka - Benjamin Bonzi Key Points
- Benjamin Bonzi is 5-3 in his last 8 matches.
- Benjamin Bonzi is 14-12 on the hard court in 2025.
- Reilly Opelka is 0-3 in his last 3 matches.
- Reilly Opelka is 14-10 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Benjamin Bonzi Prediction
Wrong Player Favored: Benjamin Bonzi should be the favorite in this match as he has played much better tennis than Opelka in the past weeks. Not only Bonzi (47th) ranks higher than Opelka (61st) on the ATP rankings, the Frenchman had gone deeper than Opelka did at Cincinnati and New York (US Open).
Of course, Opelka could boast about his 16-4 record in first-round matches this year and a 14-19 record against the ATP top-100. However, I just can’t see the American turn things around after losing the last six sets. Bonzi is an enticing underdog pick at +102. He might be even a solid bet at -3.5 Games (+320) for bettors who has the penchant for a high-risk, high-reward pick.
Our betting prediction for Benjamin Bonzi vs. Reilly Opelka: Benjamin Bonzi will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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