Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Reilly Opelka of the United States will tussle with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina of Spain in the second round of the men’s singles tournament at the 2026 Australian Open on Tuesday.
Recommended Pick: Reilly Opelka +3.5 Games
Potential Payout: $215 per $115 Bet.
Current Form:
Opelka overpowered the younger Nicolai Budkov Kjaer of Norway 6-4, 6-3, 6-4 to advance to the second round in Melbourne. The big-serving American drilled 23 aces and won 94 percent of his first balls to hold all his serves. Opelka also broke three times after earning 30 return points, 18 of which on Kjaer’s first serves.
Davidovich Fokina also made quick work of his first-round opponent, dispatching Filip Misolic of Austria 6-2, 6-3, 6-3. The No.14 seed Fokina also held every service game he had and broke Misolic five times. Fokina has converted 16 of 31 break point chances he created this year.
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Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Reilly Opelka and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 13, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 11, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 7, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 5, 2026 - Brisbane International
Nov 3, 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 16, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 15, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 14, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 5, 2026 - Brisbane International
Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Reilly Opelka against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jul 25, 2024 - ATP Atlanta Open
Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina boasts a 51 percent break-point conversion rate.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Filip Misolic 6-2, 6-3, 6-3 in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open.
- Reilly Opelka is averaging 23 aces per match in 2026.
- Reilly Opelka is winning 83.5 percent of his first serves.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Reilly Opelka covered the +3.5 game spread in a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6, 5-7, 6-4, 6-7, 6-7.
Reason: This is shaping up to be a five-set banger with both players serving at an efficient rate this season. Opelka is winning 83.5 percent of his first serves and saving 81.1 percent of break-points. Davidovich Fokina is winning 72.6 percent of his first serves while saving 70 percent of break-points. The last time these two played each other, Davidovich Fokina squeezed out a 7-5, 7-5 win at the 2024 Atlanta Open. Expect electrifying, high-level tennis from both players, who are no strangers to playing on the big stage. Honestly, Opelka is also an intriguing moneyline pick at +190, but I just can’t overlook Fokina’s caliber as a top-15 player.
Our betting prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Reilly Opelka: Reilly Opelka +3.5 Games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.