Real Madrid vs Leipzig Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Real Madrid
10/21/26 15:00
Leipzig

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid -1.5

−160
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Champions League Picks

This year, Real Madrid has won every match played at the Santiago Bernabéu. In the Champions League, they recently staged a historic comeback, scoring three goals from corner kicks after the 83rd minute to defeat Roma 4-3. Now, the Madrid side will look to win again at home when they host RB Leipzig, the same team they eliminated in the 2014 Champions League Round of 16, a competition they would go on to win.

Over the weekend, Mourinho's team delivered their most convincing performance since the Portuguese manager took over, easily defeating Sevilla in Matchday 9 of La Liga. Los Blancos put on a spectacular display, with Guler scoring a stunning goal from outside the box and Mbappé adding another after rounding the goalkeeper. Thus, Madrid, who are proving formidable at the Bernabéu, are dispelling doubts; Diomandé has steadily improved and taken Vinícius's place; the young Endrick has also responded admirably.

RB Leipzig were thrashed in their Champions League opener against Como; they then secured a less-than-convincing victory against PSV in the Champions League. Over the weekend, in the Bundesliga, they fell victim to the Bayern Munich juggernaut, suffering a heavy 6-1 defeat.

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Real Madrid vs Leipzig Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Real Madrid
6 2 2 0 0 +2
21 Leipzig
3 2 1 0 1 -2

Real Madrid and Leipzig Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Sevilla

Oct 14, 2026 - Champions League

Roma
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Sevilla

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Villarreal

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 14, 2026 - Champions League

Roma
3 :  4
Real Madrid

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid
Leipzig
Leipzig Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 13, 2026 - Champions League

Leipzig
1 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

Oct 10, 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Sep 20, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

Sep 13, 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

Sep 10, 2026 - Champions League

Como 1907
4 :  1
Leipzig
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 13, 2026 - Champions League

Leipzig
1 :  0
PSV Eindhoven

Oct 10, 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
6 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Sep 13, 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hamburg

Aug 29, 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  0
Mönchengladbach

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
4 :  0
SC Verl

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
1 :  0
Ingolstadt
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Leipzig

Sep 20, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  0
Leipzig

Sep 10, 2026 - Champions League

Como 1907
4 :  1
Leipzig

Sep 5, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Leipzig

Aug 22, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Eintracht Trier
0 :  6
Leipzig

Aug 15, 2026 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Leipzig

Real Madrid against Leipzig : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

25 %

Leipzig

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Mar 6, 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Leipzig

Feb 13, 2024 - Champions League

Leipzig
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Oct 25, 2022 - Champions League

Leipzig
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 14, 2022 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Leipzig
Real Madrid vs Leipzig Picks

Leipzig v Real Madrid last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
T. Courtois
8
F. Valverde
16
I. Konate
4
D. Huijsen
17
M. Cucurella
5
J. Bellingham
14
A. Tchouameni
9
Endrick
15
A. Guler
25
Y. Diomande
10
K. Mbappe
28
C. Nkunku
7
A. Nusa
20
R. Reitz
10
B. Gruda
6
E. Banzuzi
21
N. El Aynaoui
22
D. Raum
23
C. Lukeba
4
W. Orban
16
L. Klostermann
26
M. Vandevoordt

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leipzig

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Navarro

A. Lunin

Defender

A. Carreras

A. Rudiger

T. Alexander-Arnold

D. Dumfries

E. Militao

Midfielder

T. Pitarch Pinar

E. Camavinga

B. Silva

Forward

C. Espi

B. Diaz

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

Defender

B. Henrichs

M. Finkgrafe

M. Esteve

Midfielder

A. Maksimovic

R. Baku

N. Seiwald

Forward

Romulo

T. Gomis

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

R. Asencio

Forward

Rodrygo

Leipzig
Leipzig
Midfielder

C. Baumgartner

A. Ouedraogo

Forward

M. Guiu

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Leipzig
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia A. Maksimovic (1 Goals) ,  Germany B. Gruda (1 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (2 Assists)
Best assists
France C. Nkunku (1 Assists)

Real Madrid and Leipzig Stats in Champions League

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Leipzig
Leipzig
100%
Wins
50%
0%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
0%
5
Average goals per match
3
3
Goals scored per match
1
2
Goals conceded per match
2
0%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
100%
Both score
50%

Real Madrid - Leipzig Key Points

  1. RB Leipzig had only 38% possession in their last match
  2. Real Madrid generated an xG of 2.28 in their victory against Sevilla
  3. Real Madrid completed 91% of their attempted passes in their last match
  4. Six of Real Madrid's last seven matches have seen over 2.5 goals
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Our Real Madrid vs Leipzig Prediction

Turkish midfielder Arda Güler has shown tremendous flashes of brilliance; he played 31 minutes in Madrid's last Champions League match and, providing two assists, was instrumental in their epic comeback. Meanwhile, in attack, Mbappé, Bellingham, and Diomandé have been linking up brilliantly lately.

RB Leipzig allowed Bayern 29 shots and created 8 clear-cut chances; they also struggled against PSV in the Champions League, even conceding a penalty. Real Madrid's attack should prevail.

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig is: Real Madrid -1.5.

Prediction:

 

Real Madrid -1.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.