Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4/10/26 15:00
Girona

Prediction:

 

Azz-Eddine Ounahi 1+ Shots on Target

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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in LaLiga Picks

Real Madrid don’t have any respite as they host Girona in LaLiga, suffering a loss in the Champions League just three days prior. With many factors coming into play, betting on Azz-Eddine Ounahi to shoot on target is a good path to follow. 

Los Blancos experienced a very heavy blow on home soil in the UCL quarter-finals, meaning they have now faced two 2-1 defeats in a row, the other against low-ranking Mallorca. 

They will definitely be feeling the pressure to win this fixture if they’re holding onto championship dreams in the league, whilst they also have to atone for their tough UCL meeting in Germany just five days after too. It’s safe to say they’re in a bit of a sticky situation.

Fortunately for Girona, Madrid have struggled defensively when playing straight after a European game in the week, for example conceding two in the Madrid Derby at home, as well as conceding one at home by both Elche and Getafe straight after European commitments. The visitors have been creating good chances in the build up to this game, building good momentum, with one of their leaders being Ounahi.

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Real Madrid vs Girona Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 +42
19 Girona
41 38 9 14 15 -16

Real Madrid and Girona Latest Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Elche

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Manchester City
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Elche

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  1
Getafe

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Feb 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Real Madrid
Girona
Girona Latest matches
D L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Villarreal

Mar 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Girona

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Girona

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  2
Celta Vigo

Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Villarreal

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Mar 1, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  2
Celta Vigo

Feb 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
2 :  1
Barcelona

Jan 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Getafe

Jan 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  0
Osasuna
W L D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Girona

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
1 :  1
Girona

Feb 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
2 :  2
Girona

Feb 8, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Girona

Jan 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Girona

Jan 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Girona

Real Madrid against Girona : Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

67 %

Draw

17 %

Girona

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Feb 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Girona

Dec 7, 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Feb 10, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Girona

Sep 30, 2023 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 25, 2023 - LaLiga

Girona
4 :  2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid vs Girona Picks

Real Madrid against Girona Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
A. Lunin
2
D. Carvajal
17
R. Asencio
3
E. Militao
20
F. Garcia
8
F. Valverde
6
E. Camavinga
5
J. Bellingham
21
B. Diaz
10
K. Mbappe
7
Vinicius Junior
18
A. Ounahi
14
C. Echeverri
15
V. Tsygankov
23
I. Martin
20
A. Witsel
11
T. Lemar
24
A. Moreno
12
V. Reis
16
A. Frances
4
M. Arnau
13
P. Gazzaniga

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Girona

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

Defender

D. Huijsen

E. Militao 64'

D. Alaba

F. Mendy

F. Garcia 79'

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

E. Camavinga 79'

T. Pitarch Pinar

Manuel Angel

D. Yanez

J. Fortea

D. Ceballos

Forward

A. Guler

J. Bellingham 64'

G. Garcia

B. Diaz 83'

Girona
Girona
Goalkeeper

V. Krapyvtsov

R. Blanco

Defender

H. Rincon

T. Lemar 70'

D. Lopez

Midfielder

Bryan Gil

A. Ounahi 70'

F. Beltran

I. Martin 84'

Forward

L. Kourouma

J. Roca

C. Stuani

A. Ruiz 85'

A. Ruiz

C. Echeverri 64'

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

T. Courtois

Forward

Rodrygo

Endrick

F. Mastantuono

Girona
Girona
Midfielder

D. van de Beek

R. Artero Ruiz

Forward

Portu

V. Vanat

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Girona
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine V. Vanat (9 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (9 Assists)
Best assists
Ukraine V. Tsygankov (5 Assists)

Real Madrid - Girona Key Points

  1. Ounahi has created multiple shots in all of his last six appearances.
  2. Azz-Eddine Ounahi created two goal attempts against Real Madrid in the reverse fixture.
  3. Real Madrid aren’t as solid defensively when playing after a midweek European game.
  4. Real Madrid had a very tough game three days prior, whilst also focusing on the UCL second leg.
Up to $150 to bet on Real Madrid - Girona! 

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Our Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction

Even when playing a couple of tough opponents recently, including Barcelona, Celta Vigo and Villarreal, Girona have done very well in creating chances. Their main man in recent games has been Ounahi, who has been producing lots of goal attempts, plus performing very well when they last encountered Real Madrid, grabbing a goal. 

With the minds of Arbeloa’s squad swimming with both their upcoming UCL clash and battling with their need to keep their title hopes alive, their performance could be affected. With the hosts’ track record after midweek meetings, Girona, who aren’t in fact that far from 6th place, should definitely get a couple of chances in this game. 

Our Real Madrid vs Girona Pick: Azz-Eddine Ounahi 1+ Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Azz-Eddine Ounahi 1+ Shots on Target

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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.