Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open

ATP - ATP National Bank Open

ATP 15 Spain
Rafael Jodar
8/6/26 19:00
ATP 13 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction:

 

Rafael Jodar to Win

-125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP National Bank Open Picks

Having come very close to securing his second ATP victory of the season, losing in the delayed final of the Washington DC Open against Taylor Fritz on Monday, Rafael Jodar got back down to business in Toronto on Wednesday, when he worked hard to defeat Corentin Moutet. That effort has laid the foundations, and the Spaniard will now be looking to step on the gas by beating a player whom he defeated just last week. That player is Lorenzo Musetti. 

The early betting tells us that Rafael Jodar is a narrow favorite, but you could easily argue that the Spaniard is worthy of stronger support than odds of -125 may have us believe. Sure, Lorenzo Musetti is a strong competitor, but he recently lost to Jodar in Washington, and there's little to suggest that he'll reverse that form here. Betting on the rising star to emerge victorious at odds of -125 is absolutely the way to go. 

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Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches

Rafael Jodar Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Corentin Moutet

Aug 3, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Alejandro Tabilo

Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Kei Nishikori

Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Arthur Fils
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar
Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Nicolas Mejia
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Aleksandar Vukic
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rafael Jodar against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)

Rafael Jodar

100 %

Lorenzo Musetti

0 %

Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti
Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Picks

Rafael Jodar - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Rafael Jodar has won five out of six hard-court matches since the end of the grass-court season.
  2. Rafael Jodar defeated Lorenzo Musetti when the pair met on hard court just last week.
  3. Rafael Jodar has won nine of his last ten hard-court matches against players currently outside of the top ten.
  4. Lorenzo Musetti has lost three of his last four hard-court matches against top-20 players.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

It wasn't exactly a walk in the park for Rafael Jodar when these two met in Washington DC last week, but the Spaniard was clearly the superior player, and he didn't exactly give the impression that he'd all of a sudden falter when next coming up against the Italian. If we look at what Jodar has achieved on hard courts in general in 2026, with him very rarely losing matches of this nature, then he's hard to oppose at odds of -125, which will likely shorten as this match edges closer. 

Our Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Pick: Rafael Jodar to Win.

Prediction:

 

Rafael Jodar to Win

-125
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.