Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 26 Spain
Rafael Jodar
5/12/26 06:25
ATP 17 USA
Learner Tien

Prediction:

 

Learner Tien +1.5 Set Handicap

+105
$250 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks

On Tuesday, at the Italian Open in Rome, up-and-comer Rafael Jodar will be back in action. After he got the better of Nuno Borges, Jodar was expected to make light work of beating Matteo Arnaldi, though he couldn't quite manage that, needing three sets to win. This is a timely reminder that Jodar, for all his ability, is still young and inexperienced. He is a potential top-ten player, absolutely, but he's not there yet, so we shouldn't be too surprised if somebody like Learner Tien, who is ranked at 21 in the world, really pushes the youngster. 

Learner Tien can definitely compete on the big stage, while he should be full of confidence having defeated world number 11 Alexander Bublik last time out. He's looked in good condition in Rome in general, so the American may just be worth betting on to make this tricky for his opponent, whose recent record against higher-ranked players is far from perfect. 

Up to $250 to bet on Rafael Jodar - Learner Tien! 

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Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Form

Rafael Jodar and Learner Tien Latest Matches

Rafael Jodar Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

Apr 29, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Vit Kopriva
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

Apr 26, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Joao Fonseca
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur
Learner Tien Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Learner Tien
2 :  1
Alexander Bublik

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Damir Dzumhur

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Apr 3, 2026 - ATP Houston

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Roman Andres Burruchaga

Apr 2, 2026 - ATP Houston

Learner Tien
2 :  1
Nishesh Basavareddy

Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  1
Learner Tien

Rafael Jodar against Learner Tien : Head to Head (H2H)

Rafael Jodar

100 %

Learner Tien

0 %

Dec 17, 2025 - Next Gen ATP Finals

Learner Tien
2 :  3
Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Picks

Rafael Jodar - Learner Tien Key Points

  1. Rafael Jodar failed to win in straight sets last time out.
  2. Rafael Jodar has recently dropped at least one set against several players of a similar level to Learner Tien.
  3. Learner Tien comes into this match having beaten the world number 11 last time out.
  4. Rafael Jodar has either lost or dropped a set in each of his recent matches against higher-ranked players.
Up to $250 to bet on Rafael Jodar - Learner Tien! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Prediction

Right now, Rafael Jodar is one of the hottest young tennis players on the planet, but we shouldn't forget that he's far from the finished article. He's also up against a very strong player in Learner Tien, who is more than capable of with tussling with top players, as he proved by defeating Alexander Bublik last time out. As strong as the Spaniard can be, he looks to be getting too much support in the early market. In other words, Tien can be bet on to, at the very least, avoid a straight-set defeat at generous-looking odds. 

Our Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien Pick: Learner Tien +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Learner Tien +1.5 Set Handicap

+105
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.