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by Travis Pulver in WNBA Picks
The Indiana Fever will host the Phoenix Mercury tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. Gametime is scheduled for 7 p.m. EST, and fans can follow the action on ESPN3 and Merc+.
Phoenix had a lot of turnover in the offseason, and it appears to be paying off. They have the third-best record in the WNBA at 16-9, have been tough to beat at home (9-4), and competitive on the road (7-5). Satou Sabally ranks inside the top ten in scoring with 18 points per game (No. 9). They are averaging 83.1 points per game, good for sixth best in the league, and allowing 79.8 (fifth best). Expectations were sky high for Indiana coming into the season. But with Caitlin Clark injured for much of the year, it’s been a tougher season than expected. However, if recent results are any indication, they may have finally found the formula for winning games without Clark. They lost a tough one to New York right out of the break that was more competitive than the score would indicate, and followed that game with wins over the Las Vegas Aces (80-70) and Chicago Sky (93-78).
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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.615 | 26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
|
3
|
0.556 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 3 |
Phoenix Mercury and Indiana Fever Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA
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Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
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Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
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Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 24, 2025 - WNBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 27, 2025 - WNBA
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Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 1, 2025 - WNBA Commissioner Cup
Jun 27, 2025 - WNBA
Phoenix Mercury against Indiana Fever : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
Aug 16, 2024 - WNBA
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Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever Key Points
- Indiana and Phoenix last played on August 16, 2024; Indiana won 98-89, giving the Fever a fifth consecutive win over the Mercury.
- Indiana ranks third in opponents’ three-point percentage for the season at 31.5% but last in the month of July (37.5%, tied with Atlanta).
- Phoenix ranks fifth in three-point percentage for the season at 33.8%.
- The OVER is 12-11-1 for Phoenix and 13-13 for Indiana.
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction
I’m going to go with the home team here. Indiana got it together right around the All-Star Break last season and made their playoff push. With wins in five of their last seven games, it looks like that could be the case this season. It would be best if they had Clark, but they’ve figured something else out—let Kelsey Mitchell shoot about 20 times a game. That was the key to the last two wins and will be the key tonight.
Our Mercury vs. Fever Pick: Indiana ML
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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